5 of last 6 games in Granada ended with 163+ points and here I see another perfect chance for 160+ points game. I think that correct total for this game should be 157.5 and not 152-153.5 like most bookies have. Granada should score 72-80 points while Caja with all its offensive power should be able to hit weak Granada defense in all zones and score 78-85 points.
Pick: Over 152.5 @ 1.85 William Hill 4/10 BLANCOS DE RUEDA VALLADOLID vs. AYUDA EN ACCION FUENLABRADAValladolid leader B.Chase has only 2% to be on the field today according to coach interview as well as long-term injured Eulis Baez. Joe Van Lacke, Diego Garcia and Isaac Lopez have injuries too but will play.
Line already moved from +5.5 to +3.5 but this still has value because Fuenlabrada should be a favorite in this match. They are good team with no injuries but they can't play under pressure at home matches. I am not sure why this happened but this season they lost confidence playing at home but away from home they have 4-2 ATS record and good defense.
Valladolid is good opponent for Fuenlabrada. They also play fast paced basketball. Maybe not a run-and-gun style like Fuenlabrada but they fouling too much to stay in the games. This allows their opponents to score easy points while offensively Valladolid usually fails to score more than 73 points.
Valladolid can't defend under 75 points, they can't score 75 pts even playing fast-paced game and they have injury troubles. Fuenlabrada can defend under 75 points, can score 75+ points and hass healthy roster. So why Valladolid is favorite in this game? Answer: because of bad Fuenlabrada form in home matches, but this time they are playing away from home. So my call here guests to win.
Pick: Fuenlabrada +4.5 @ 1.85 William Hill 5/10
Granada - Caja Laboral