Italian Legabasket
Legabasket Round 8 Picks
/ 3
- Details
- Category: Legabasket (Italian Basketball League)
- Published Date
- Written by admin
Varese - Ferrara
By default both teams are up-tempo style teams. I am not talking about run and gun basketball but they use shot clock only for 10-15 secs without long possessions.
Ferrara played 7 games so far, 5 of them were against defensive clubs and one against Napoli with very slow-pace (only 148 possession made). Varese is not good in defense at all (81 pts allowed per game) and does not have efficience in defense (0.95-1.05 pts allowed per 1 opponent possession in most of the games).
Read More Ferrara should be capable to score over 74 points against Varese defense while Varese is still a favorite to win this game. Also Varese can nail 9-13 3-pointers per game.. So high tempo, bad defense, promising offense from both sides - all is talking for high-scoring game.
Personally I expect 156-164 points here and the lowest score scenario I see here 80-74. So medium value on over 154.5.
Pick: Over 154.5 @ 1.90 5/10 many bookies
Avellino - Montepaschi
Avellino is the fastest team in Legabasket league and has 2nd best defense after Montepaschi. Bookies set line by averages as always but Montepaschi game for this match is to slow game tempo and play from defense. Montepaschi these days is not at best form offensively so it is logical to get into defensive game with Avellino.
My line for this game is 67.5-77.5 for Montepaschi because Montepaschi has best defense in Italy and one of the best in Europe, while Avellino managed to lock opponents under 75 points in most of their game playing in 180 possessions tempo. Playing with Montepaschi it will be hard to push tempo over 165 possessions so Avellino defense should be capable to stop Montepaschi offense under 80 points.
I expect something like 64:78, 66:80 even 64:87 but in all scenarios I can't see this game going over 155 points.
Pick: under 155.5 @ 1.88 5/10 Expekt
By using a 