Euroleague
Euroleague Top-16 Betting Picks
Fenerbahce Ulker vs. CSKA Moscow
We have 2 defensive oriented teams here which are searching for their first win in Top-16. CSKA has some troubles on offensive end in last 5 games they are scoring only 71.8 points per game. Fenerbahche is defending in this range too and I expect to see CSKA score in the 70-75 range or even less.
Fenerbahche on other side is feeling much better at home but they still had serious problems in offense against much more open teams than CSKA. Statistically we should expect them to score in the 68-72 points range but in reality CSKA usually holds opponents under 69 points in away games especially if that is game is important for them.
We have 143.5 line for this match which is quite low for confident bet on under but I am leaning forward to see low scoring game with total around 130-135 points. Let's see.
Prediction: Fenerbahce Ulker 62 - 73 CSKA Moscow
Pick: Under 143.5 @ 1.90 BET365
Panathinaikos vs. Partizan 19:45 CET
I don't like such types of games where 2 friendly clubs will fight like lions to prove that there is no (and never were) fixed matches between them. Maybe they are fair clubs but everything has a price and I would not be surprised if PAO will ask for a 2 wins in this group. However Partizan will not lose with big margin because they have absolutely best defense in the region at this moment and they will fight until dying seconds to win this one but referees and home crowd support will do its work perfectly. Narrow Panathinaikos win by 5-10 points in low scoring matches.
Prediction: Panathinaikos 74 - 67 Partizan
Maccabi Electra vs. Alba Berlin 20:00 CET
Maccabi added to the roster Dee Brown and R.Gaines and this made their roster high scoring and ultra-speedy like Gershon wanted. Now it's time to show an offensive power and smash german team out of the court. However don't expect ALBA to lose with no fight. This team knows how to wait for their chance in the games, they have enough bench depth to contribute with Maccabi and offense and I think that we have very good chance to see high scoring game here. ALBA will accept Maccabi style but they will lose because Maccabi can score 90 points and ALBA will be out of gas sooner or later.
Prediction: Maccabi Electra 92 - 75 Alba Berlin
Pick: Over 159.5 @ 1.90 Bwin
AJ Milano vs. Olympiacos 20:45 CET
I don't know what to expect from this game so I will leave it without description.
Lottomatica Roma vs. Unicaja 20:45 CET
This game is very important for both teams but for Unicaja it has special value. Special because in my book this Unicaja need one away win in this group to promote into playoff and the easiest and most comfortable from all points of view is this one. Later Unicaja will be forced to play under phisical tiredness after Spanish cup and both trips will be much more difficult that this one. Roma on other side was 2nd in regular phase but as for me they did not show anything special to be favorites in this match. If Roma would lose some more games where they were lucky to win (in Euroleague and Italian championship) I am sure that we would see them clear undergods in the line. But because of their luck they are favorites in the line and I can't agree with this.
Unicaja has more solid and balanced roster (especially under rims) and according to Aito Renesses interview they realize that Roma is their direct rival in this group and they want to win this game. I hope that Unicaja will be able not to lose 10 points handicap when they will build it and will win this game by 4-7 points.
Prediction: Lottomatica Roma 70 vs 76 Unicaja
Pick: Unicaja +2 @ 1.85 PinnacleSports
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