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Euroleague Top-16. Week 6. Culmination

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Panathinaikos vs. Maroussi BC

I was planning to pick PAO handicap if it less than 4.5 points in this game but with so many injured players I prefer to skip this game. Sure PAO is still a superclub but without 3 regular starters I don't see them as clear winner against very good playing Maroussi.

This game too many chances to be fixed and I don't want to be a part of it at all costs.

Asseco Prokom vs. Unicaja Malaga

This game means nothing for both teams. Unicaja however might have better concentration and desire to revenge for huge home loss and that's why Unicaja +5.5 points could be a good bet if you planning to watch this game.

I have another another game for TV-watching and will stay away from quessing about teams motivation here.

Caja Laboral vs. Cibona

Caja should finish its job and get into Euroleague playoffs. Cibona is a good team in good shape at this moment but still need to learn how to win away games in Euroleague. Only victory can help croatians to get out of this group but I don't believe in Caja's 3rd in a row loss at home to mediocre european club.

Maybe it's time for Caja finally to cover its first handicap at home because so far they have 0-7 ATS record in home games. With motivation to win as much as possible they simply can score 11 points more than Cibona which often finds offensive problems. But for me this is another nobet game because there is not enough value in taking Caja's -10.5 simply because they can hear about Olympiacos leading in Russia than it is enough just to win.

vujcic-langfordKhimki - Olympiacos

Khimki favored against Olympiacos! What a joke! I would agree with this line if it would be set at the start of the season when Olympiacos never plays seriously in away games. But now I can't agree with this line.

I know that Khimki needs to win this game to be in playoffs. But also I know that this team never was a fighters team. Since club creation they always waste all possible chances to win something seriuos and they lose all important season matches. Why this happens I don't know but this team never had a winning character and mentality. I was hoping that arrivals of old soldiers like Cabezas and Raul might help this team but it did not. They are still a good players but their peak of careers were 2-4 years ago.

Olympiacos is a better team on absolutely all positions. The only problem is motivation. Oly already first but according to interviews they are very motivated to win here. They say that they want to finish top-16 with 6-0 record but I think that for a club it is more important to help Caja Laboral... not because of friendship but because maybe there is will be situation when Olympiacos promotion will depend on Caja's result in next editions of Euroleague.

I really can't see Khimki a favorite in this pair even taking into consideration motivation. Olympiacos has deeper and stronger roster on all positions, most of the players in good form, a lot of muscules on the boards (where Khimki usually feels strong) and finnaly they have Papaloukas - known killer of Khimki club.

Pick: Olympiacos to win @ 2.16 Betfair

Montepaschi vs. Efes Pilsen

Friendly game where everything is possible. Piangiani is promissing to take this game seriuosly but from betting point of view there is no value. Maybe over 156.5 is worth a try but I am not a big fan of betting on friendly games.

Roger Grimau Regal Barcelona captain 2009/10Regal Barcelona vs. Partizan

Regal Barcelona in front of their audience will demolish Partizan and take sweet revenge for a loss in Belgrade.

Handicap is high but with Barcelona ability to defend under 65 points and score up to 90 easily I see very good chance for 20+ pts victory of Barcelona and I would not be surprised with 30+ victory.

Pick: Barcelona -15.5 @ 1.74 Betfair

Real Madrid vs. Maccabi Electra

Real looks solid offensively with Lull on fire but they can't produce this offense on Euroleague level. This game has extra importance for Real because if they win they will get Partizan or Maroussi in QT and this could be a almost free ticket to the Final Four dream. But if they lose they will meet Barcelona without home advantage in playoff series...

Maccabi has same motivation as Real in terms of QT perspectives and also has offensive problems. But Maccabi always was a difficult opponent for Real.

If Maccabi will play on its best level we'll a great game with difficult to predict result. Both teams should be able to score 70+ points but than it could be 75:72 or 81:86. This game is better to watch than to bet but if you can't live without bets than Maccabi +8 worth a try.



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