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Basketball Betting Picks -
Eurocup Betting Tips
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Sunday, 21 February 2010 12:38 |
 Barcelona - Real Madrid
Basketball el classico. Barcelona is huge public favorite to win the title. Everything talks in Barcelona favor except a cup factor. As you know in cup games magic happens more often than in regular season and I think that today we will see a great battle instead of easy walkover for Barca.
My position is Barcelona playing better as a team while their moment of form is not the best one. On other side we have not so well organized Real Madrid but right now their form improved a lot but maybe it happened because Joventud and Caja L were too weak to win against them. So who will win? Right.. The better team. But I already have Barcelona as a cup winner @ 1.75 so I don't see any reason to jump on them in the final. Finally, Real is quite strong individually and experienced to give at least a fight.
For sure it is a must-watch game and the best bet for me is over 144.5 (Ladbrokes offer 143.5). Real is very good in offense these days while Barcelona defense does not look so unbreakable as it was few months ago. I think that Real is capable to score 68-75 points and Barca almost in every games finds a way to score more than 75 points. Also 9 of 10 games between these clubs ended with over 143.5. The only game which ended under this total was their last game but there Real was without Reyes, Hansen, Lull and Jaric. In result only 57 points scored (worst game of the season) and 143 possesions made (both teams stopped playing in 3rd quarter to avoid -40).
This time I expect 159-161 posessions game with more than 145 points scored. Maybe it will be 147 points but I have a feeling that over 143.5 points should be scored here.
Prediction: Barcelona 78 : 72 Real
Pick: Over 143.5 @ 1.83 Ladbrokes
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