They played 2 times in EL qualies 61:60 in France (150 possessions per game) and 77:62 (147 possessions). The line for those games was -4.5/143.5 in France and -5.5/140.5 in Berlin.

Now we have 146.5 total line due the high scoring games at group stage. But for me h2h stats are more important and I think that this game should be low-paced with 146-155 possessions per game. This game is important for both teams because Le Mans can't lose home game and ALBA's goal to steal at least one away victory (and Le Mans is the best chance because Aris and Joventud has stronger home court).

ALBA will miss important center Adam Chubb and their scoring leader Julius Jenkins is questionable due the injury he got when played in ALL-Star game. Without these absences ALBA's goal should be to control pace of the game and play hard defense whole game.

I expect low paced game where possessions amount can be the same as total and both teams are not the type of teams which can score more than 1 points per possesions. The average number in best case should around 0.9-0.93 pts/possession and if game tempo will be 155 possessions per game the game will end in 139-144 points range. But I think that we can see here even lower total.

Le Mans to win @ 1.55 at Expect or @ 1.59 at Betfair is also good choice because with 2 important players ALBA could be in trouble tonight.