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Basketball Betting Picks -
Eurobasket 2009
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Monday, 14 September 2009 10:08 |
Spain - LithuaniaBoth teams are in bad physical conditions here but Spain have more class and balance in their roster. Lithuania looks awful on this tournament and looking into their past games I can't see what they can offer tonight for Spain. Lithuania is weaker team on all positions and what is more important can't play for 40 minutes with needed concetration.
Spain will use Lithuania defensive mistakes and Navarro should play a "Lithuania killer" role again. Maybe Lithuania will play for their pride but I can't see how they can win against Spain in this conditions. No leader, no playmaker, no team play in offense and defense, no coach and no desire in the eyes... I have never seen Lithuania playing such horrible basketball in my life.
It's hard to predict the outcome of the game but Spain will win this one. for sure Maybe by 6-7 points or by 15-19.. not important but expect another bad day for Lithuania basketball. As for total I am leaning to under 155.5 but looking into h-2-h history it is the most stupid choice for this matchup... but statistically it most appropriate choice for this game.
Prediction: Spain 81 - 69 Lithuania
Poland - Slovenia
For both teams this match is important. Slovenia have Turkey in the schedule and if they lose 2 games in a row they might find themselves out of quarterfinals (depending on other results). For Poland it is last real chance to have good position for a place in quarterfinals. So the atmosphere should be hot.
Slovenia tonight without their speedy-scoring-man Goran Dragic and I expect them to slow down tempo as much as possible to limit Poland fast offense. In low pace Poland often experience offensive troubles and scores only 65-74 points but other side Poland showed that thay can defend under 80 points.
I expect low scoring game here because Slovenia is very effective team in defense and not so great on offensive end. In example they score only 81 points to Lithuania by hitting 13 3-pointers and Lithuania defense was not looking good at all.
Surprise may happen here but I think that Poland will struggle in half-court game against Slovenia defense and Slovenia will take this one by 4-7 points.
Prediction: Poland 68 - 74 Slovenia Pick: Under 153.5
Serbia - Turkey
Many questioned players for Serbia and uknown motivation (Serbia enters playoff if Poland lose to Slovenia and Lithuania to Spain) makes this game nobet.
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