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Connecticut Sun (28-8) at Detroit Shock (25-11)
SPREAD: Connecticut -4 TOTAL: 138.5 One factor which bother me a lot is K.Douglas status for this game. She is listed as day-to-day at Covers.com and Connecticut Sun coach listed her as a game time decision. While the Sun were in Detroit, Douglas visited her doctor in Indianapolis and was given an anti-inflammatory injection that would take 36 to 48 hours to work. On Courant.com I found information that there is a chance that she could play even with this injury without risk to make it more seriuos. I know that Douglas is very strong person and I would not be surprised to see her in uniform today in a most important season game for Connecticut. Detroit in Game 1 won rebound battle and won a game. If Connecticut Sun will be able to compete on the boards with them I think that this game could be won. But they also need to score points. The Sun have not shot well in their last two games, 27.8 percent against Washington and 30.1 percent against Detroit. Douglas has fared the best against the Shock this season, averaging 16.5 points, but even if she plays, she won't be at her best. As you see there is a lot of problems and question in Connecticut Sun and it's risky to lay them today, because now we have situation when Detroit won 4 times in a row against Connecticut. And it would extremely difficult to win fifth time especially in a Game 2 where Connecticut will never give up. But I still have one bet to play for. Detroit scored 15+ points per quarter in 14 of 16 played quarters while their average scoring norm is 17.4 per quarter. It is somewhere about 68-70 points per game and seems that Connecticut Sun just can't limit Detroit less than 68 points. But at the same time Connecticut in 12 quarters scored more than 17.5 points only in 5 of 16 quarters while their norm is only 16 points per quarter. Add to this their current problem with squad and offensive troubles. So all in one I think that today match will be very close and it's very hard to predict winner tonight because a lot will depend on how Connecticut will be able to push a tempo and score points. Anyway it would extremely difficult for Connecticut to score more than 70-72 points today while Detroit have good chances to score in 65-71 range. Both teams should finish this game in 65-72 points and spread should be very close but Detroit is more relaxed so Detroit HC looks good for me, but for big stake because as I already said Connecticut will step up strong today, they need a win to stay in a game. I'm betting on a close ending of this game where Detroit could cover a spread. Predicted score: Connecticut 69 - 67 Detroit Pick: Detroit +4.5 (medium-low confidence) (buy some points if you sportsbook offer buyings) P.S. This quite risky bet because I expect Connecticut to win today but this win should be very close. But this win will come only if they will found their shot today. In Game they missed a lot of open shots and if they would hit them that game could be much closer than it was. So take this pick only is as my opinion especially when I am on a losing period.
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