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WNBA GAME: New York Liberty (5-20) at Charlotte Sting (8-18)
SportsBook Line: Charlotte -9.5 TOTAL: 144 There is no sense to write long write up for this WNBA game so I will be short. NY have lost 9 of last games but they still are 60+ teams in offense with average in last 10 games of 67.2 points. And they have scored more than 60 points in 8 of last 10 games. Charlotte are favored at home by 8.5 points against NY Liberty today. But stop... they have 6 points underdogs one month ago in away game against NY Lyberty. And now this line have been changed by 15 points to Charlotte side... Have the signed Michael Jordan or Kobe Bryant during this month.. No.. And last year Charlotte were favored by 4-4.5 points in their home game against NY and they have 1 lose 74-82 (OT) and 1 win 67-61. In last 10 games they Charlotte is allowing 69.7 points in average so seems that NY has all chances to score at least their average 67-68 points. So they need to score about 77 points to cover 9 points. But their average in last 10 games in only 72.8 points, and their average scoring ability at home is only 75 points. NY have allowed 81 points in last 10 games but Charlotte offense is not Connecticut, Seattle or Phoenix offense. With less offensive minded teams NY is allowing is allowing about 74-75 points. And more of that Charlotte is average only 65.5 with NY in last 10 games. So looks like Charlotte real strength is a bit overvalued here on both ends of the floor (defense and offense) So, I expect much more closer game than sports betting companies thinks. The only problem is that NY team is not motivated today so I can't suggest you to bet medium-high bet today. Let's try medium-low bet on NY Liberty to win ATS today. Predicted score: Charlotte 74 - 69 New York Bet on: New York +9.5
WNBA Game: Washington Mystics (13-13) at Indiana Fever (16-9)
Betting Line: Indiana -6 TOTAL: 144Indiana's average home totals are 74-65.5 while Washington total is 76.5-80. Indiana Fever known as under team especially at home but Washington is 17-9 in Over/Under this season and 9-1 when total is set in the range 140-149.5. I don't know what is the reason of such trend but looks like sportbooks expect defensive game from Washington when they play away but Mystics does not show any signs of good defence in such games. H-2-H stats are difficult to analyze because there were 2 games played this season and Indiana won both 83-70 at home and 74-67 away. In those games Indiana played 8 quarters and in 6 quarters their average was 20 points while in left quarters they scored 6 and 31 points which I hold as something unreal in todays game. Washington also had one unreal quarter when they scored 8 points while in other 7 quarters their average was 18.4. So maybe I am bit crazy to play over in Indiana home game but I will try to bet low stake on over with a hope that they would not repeat unreal quarters today. Predicted score: Indiana 78 - 71 Washington Bet on: OVER 144 (low stakes)
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