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France - Greece
According to my calculations based on quarters averages France stats are 64-63 and Greece 74.5-68. With these stats correct total line for this game should be 135 points (66-69). Before championship teams had 2 friendlies which ended:
France Greece 56:70 (15-8 14-19 10-22 17-21)
France Greece 72:68 (18-23 17-13 22-18 15-14) Average of both games is 133 points and only 2 quarters were over 40 points, while other six in average are only 30.8 per quarter. Sure friendlies games are not good source to analyze but taking into account that both teams are defensive minded I expect this game to be very close and one quarter could be played under 30 points. “The two teams match up very well and this will be a very defensive-minded game. It’s going to come down to who can keep up the intensity the longest. That team will win.” - predicted France forward Florent Pietrus.
The only problem I see here is that this game could be really close one with a lot of fouls in the end or overtime will happen.
Predicted score: Greece 71 - France 65 Pick: UNDER 141.5 BWIN (medium confidence)
USA - Germany
The best for this game is Lebron James - Points + Rebounds + Assists >21.5, this man have not played really concentrated in last 2 matches and with Germany I expect USA team to meet first scoring problems because they are planning to slow down game tempo and use their defense to take a chance tomorrow. With such team Lebron should play at least 28 points and taking into account that till now he is scoring 0.6 pts per game he should collect about 15 points (or even 20+ points), while he is average of 4 rebounds and 3.5 assists in 22 minutes on field. Looks how US coach said about L.James before this game: "I still think that's the best thing he does -- his presence, especially the passing," coach Mike Krzyzewski said. "He and Wade are incredible passers." I think that tomorrow they will need both on court to reach semifinals. Another bet I like here in first half under 93.5. Germany plans to slow down a tempo of this game while american some kind of troubles in attack against organized defence. I expect first 2 quarters to be really close and to see something about 51-37 at the end of 2nd quarter. If Italians managed to limit USA to 60 shots per game - germans can do this too. Pick: Lebron James - Points + Rebounds + Assists >21.5 BWIN (medium-high confidence)
Pick: 1st half UNDER 93.5 BWIN (medium confidence)
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