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I am currenty on 9-1 run in this tournament and sometimes such luck should be over. Hope this would not happen today but I highly recommend you don't increase your bet size only because I have won all picks I've published here. Today is not easy day for betting on Eurobasket and I have only one strong play in Turkey-Croatia game, all other picks are more for fun. So manage your money and have a great day with BetonBasket.com! Russia - Belarus
Just one more easy game for Russians and all I have to offer here is a small bet on over. When game means nothing teams could forget about defence and let bench players to enjoy the game time. I usually avoid such games but when total is set at 133.5 it's worth to try with medium-low stakes. Predicted score: 84-57
Pick: Over 133.5 (medium-low stake) Lithuania - Slovenia
Lithuanians are in a must win situation but handicap is not so safe to play because I don't expect very easy win today. Slovenians should do their best to get win today and not to wait next crucial game with Serbia because Serbia could appear in must-win situation in next tour in case they lose today to France. Slovenians have size under basket and absolutely sure they will try to use this advantage by attacking from 2pt zone with high percentage. Lithuanians should offer up-tempo game with a lot of fastbreaks and 3 pointers, and maybe they will try some kind of full-court defense. At this momement average totals of Slovenia is 142 and Lithuania's 171. Bookmakers set line at 158.5. Slovenia never beat such total on this tournament but they have played in low-tempo group where Israel, Hungary and Italy are under 140 teams. In game with France they had 58 points in the end of 3rd quarter but than stopped to score points, by scoring only 9 points in 4th quarter. So I think that with fast non-defensive teams Slovenia is able to score 75+ points. Lithuanians on this tournament allowed more than 20 points in 12 of 16 played quarters so chances that Slovenia will have a chance to score more than 75 points are increasing. But I still doubt that 5 slovenians players will be able to beat more experienced Lithuanians who are in must-win situation. So my prediction is Lithuania win in high-scoring effort. Predicted score: Lithuania 84 - 78 Slovenia Pick: OVER 158.5 (medium-low stakes) Turkey - Croatia
Look at last 14 Croatia games this summer: Croatia - Italy 79-78 (total 157)
Croatia - Slovenia 83:72 (155)
Croatia - Finland 74:80 (154)
Croatia - Italy 80:71 (151)
Lithuania - Croatia 94:74 (168)
Lithuania - Croatia 101:77 (178)
Lithuania - Croatia 75:68 (144)
Croatia - Hungary 78:60 (148)
Croatia - Slovenia 93:78 (171)
France - Croatia 95:70 (165)
Croatia - Belarus 64-58 (122 but there as 6-10 in 1qt, in last 3qt teams scored 35.5 per quarter, 140 pts graph)
Croatia - Latvia 95-79 (173)
Croatia - serbia 72-78 (150)
Croatia - Greece 87-72 (157) Average total 157 points. Now let's look at last Turkey NT games:
Turkey - Israel: 69-56 (125)
Turkey - Greece: 83-70 (153)
Turkey - Germany: 72-60 (132)
Turkey - France 60-80 (140)
Turkey - France 78-75 OT (153)
Turkey - France 89-93 (182)
Turkey - Germany 83-45 (128)
Turkey - France 66-60 (126)
Turkey - Russia 60-63 (123)
Turkey - Italy 75-53 (128) Average total 139 points. If we would sum up those totals we will get that correct total for these teams should be set at 148 points. Yes, I know that till now Turkey played unders but their opponents were defensive minded.. today they will met more open-style team and as we see from Turkey results with Greece (83-70), France (60-80, 78-75, 89-93) they are able to play open style basketball. And today I expect something another than boring 65-60... Let's have some fun! And I hope money... Predicted score: Turkey 78 - 70 Croatia Pick: Over 135.5 (high stakes)
Latvia - Germany
The only reason why I publish this game here is because I want to warn you not to bet on latvia handicap today. These teams played 2 times this summer and here are the results
Germany - Latvia 62-83
Germany - Latvia 75-65
Germany - Latvia 66-59
As you see germans were able to beat Latvians 2 times and why not to repeat that perfomance today? They already showed signs of good play with France 26-10 lead in 1 queater and yesterday they had 64-64 with one minute left with Israel. Just avoid public bet today and think about value bet Germany win at 3.40. But that's not a pick, it's only a thoughts.
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