Bank: $9584
Record: 1-3

Panama - Japan
Both teams don't have good centers but have good defenders. During last 2 years Panama scored only 2 times more than 79 points in friendly with Puerto Rico and in FIBA Americas championship when they lost to Brazil (80-95). In all others games they scored less than 79 points. On this tournament they still have problems in offense with Angola and Spain. In 7 of 8 played quarters they failed to score 20 points.

Japan is a defensive minded team with fast players but not experienced. They can't score from 3 second zone so they are trying to score points by shooting 3pts shots and penetrating. Today japanese defenders will have tough time because Panama quards are really experienced players and they will try to defend well to get this win and stay in the game for playoff spot.

I expect that Japan would not score 70 points today while Panama players would score somewhere between 70-75 points. They only problem I see here is a low class of the teams and their willness to make shots. If they will make their shots this bet could be a nervous one so only a medium stake is recommended.

Predicted score: Panama 73 - 65 Japan

Pick: UNDER 153.5
Odds: 1.85
Bet Size: $400 (medium stake)
Sportsbook: BWin

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