Connecticut Sun (23-6) at Houston Comets (17-13)
SportBooks Line: Houston 2.5 TOTAL: 139.5

The Connecticut Sun look to extend the longest winning streak in franchise history to 10 games when they visit the Houston Comets today. But this is not such strong motivation factor as Houston desire to enter playoffs, but Houston squad has big troubles due the injuries of 4 key players.

I already wrote about Houston offensive troubles in my Friday WNBA pick but nothing have changed they ended their last game 63-63 and now their average in 9 of last 10 games is only 66.5, but defence still works by allowing 67.5.

Connecticut is flexible team and they usually adopts to opponent style. They know how to play in fast basketball with such teams like Phoenix and they plays well with low-tempo teams like Houston. And till now they hit 6 unders in those games if don't include OT points. Here all those games with low tempo teams:

Sacramento W 75-68 U 145
@ Sacramento L 63-69 L U 144
@ Indiana W 76-66 U 144.5
Detroit L 64-70 U 147.5
Houston W 73-57 U 149
Detroit L 73-77 (69-69) O 148

I think today's game will be played in Houston-style basketball with hard to break defence from both sides. Connecticut have more depth and more chances to win this game, but motivation and home court factor is on Houston style. It's difficult to predict who will in such situation but what I like here is one more under bet. Total line is set 5-6 points more than it should be so I will take medium-low bet.

Predicted score: Houston 64 - 69 Connecticut

Bet on: UNDER 139.5

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