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Houston Comets (16-13) at Minnesota Lynx (9-20)
SPREAD: Minnesota 2.5 TOTAL: 146 To beat 147.5 total teams should score 37 points per quarter. In 3 games played this season they scored 37+ points only in 2 of 12 played quarters while their normal scoring ability is 34.9 pts per quarter. But that's not all. Houston have 4 injured players: Candy, Dixon, Thompson and Philips. They adapted to play without Thompson because she is not playing for a month but in last game Dixon got injuried and this can break their game especialy in offense because she is a key player in attacks organizing. Houston scoring in 9 of last 10 games (I don't take their game with Phoenix when they scored 98 points) is only 67.8 pts. And this numbers may be even lower without Dixon. But team is still fighting for playoff spot and if they want to win games they need to win games by playing good defence and they know how to play in defense allowing 70.3 this season.
Minnesota average scoring in 9 of last games is 66.6 pts and they have lost 8 of last 10 games. They have no motivation in this match except desire to avoid 4th stright lose at home. But I doubt that this win will come today because they score only 15 pts per quarter against Houston. But because of injury trouble in Comets Lynx have a chance to get a win today but this will be a hard defensive battle I think because both teams have seriuos troubles in offense and correct total should be somewhere in 135-139 range. Predicted score: Minnesota 64 - 59 Houston Bet on: UNDER 146 (medium high stakes) Detroit Shock (19-9) at Chicago Sky (4-24)
SPREAD: Chicago 8 TOTAL: 148 The playoff-bound Detroit Shock look to improve to 7-0 in the second of back-to-back games this season when they meet the expansion Chicago Sky on Friday night at the UIC Pavilion. Chicago scored 70+ points in 9 of last 10 games but this trend will stop today I suppose. Why? Because Chicago played 2 games with Detroit this season and here are results of their performance (quarter totals): 16 18 16 16 15 16 21 18
Clear picture than Chicago should score somewhere about 60-64 points not more. And this is a best bet for this game Chicago under 70 and if your sportsbook allow you to bet on individual total play this bet. If you have simple total line bet on under 148 because Detroit is only 73 points in average last 10 games. But they beat 80 points mark in both games with Chicago by scoring 20+ points in 7 of 8 quarters and if this trend will continue we have to see an easy win for Detroit. Predicted score: Chicago 64 - 78 Detroit Bet on: Chicago UNDER 70 (medium high stake) or UNDER 148 (medium-high)
Bet on: Detroit (-8) (medium-low)
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