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GAME: Los Angeles Sparks (23-7) at Connecticut Sun (22-6)
Sports Book line: Connecticut -4 TOTAL: 147 I don't want even touch this line because this line is correct and I don't like to bet on correct lines. The winner of this game will probably get regular season champions name and home court advantage in a playoff series. Connecticut plays at home and they deserved to be favorites but LA Sparks have enough depth and experience to bring surprise today. I'll skip this game. GAME: Minnesota Lynx (9-19) at Indiana Fever (17-11)
Sports Book line: Indiana -10.5 TOTAL: 142.5 Indiana should win to save their 3rd position and I think that they will win. And they have power to beat a spread set by sport books but the question how they are motivated to beat it. I don't see any reasons why they should do this except the revenge factor because they lose their first match. But it is still not enough to bet on Indiana. So I prefer to skip this game where unmotivated sides playing.
GAME: Detroit Shock (19-8) at New York Liberty (7-21)
SPREAD: New York 6.5 TOTAL: 144.5 Detroit Shock is a class above team but NY Liberty have good chemistry now and of their leaders (B.Hammon) back into their roster. The only lean I see here is small bet on UNDER 144.5 because Liberty know how to play in a low-tempo while their season results with low-tempo teams are: @ Sacramento L 62-71
@ Los Angeles L 62-70
Sacramento L 58-79
Houston L 58-72
Indiana L 65-65 (OT)
@ Houston L 62-97
Los Angeles W 68-68 (OT)
@ Detroit L 63-64
@ Indiana L 70-91 Average: 63.1-74 (but if we don't take 2 blowout games with Houston and Indiana they defensive stats would be only 69.8). Detroit is not an offensive minded team by scoring only 72.2 points away from home while in last 10 games they are allowing 68 points (without blow out in Sacramento where they got 94 points). So I think that this game have some reason to go under the total but I don't recommend you to bet high stakes because usually games between this teams ends somewhere about 140 points and this one may end in 138-142 total range too. Predicted score: New York 64 - 74 Detroit Bet on: UNDER 144.5 (low stake) GAME: Sacramento Monarchs (18-11) at San Antonio Silver Stars (12-16)
Sports Book line: San Antonio 2.5 TOTAL: 142.5 This is only game I really like today. And a key phrase for this game is a Sacramento coach phrase taken from SacBee.com:
"Our goal right now is making the playoffs," Whisenant said. He's hoping for a victory tonight that will make the rest of the regular season about seeding.And the a fastest way to get a playoff ticket is to win against San Antonio today. Sacramento won 9 of last 10 games but all games were quite closed with highest winning spread of 11 points. But Sacramento is still a team which know how to win against SA and more of that they are in good form right now after winning 2 consecutive games against Detroit and Houston at home. The only problem I see here is that Sacramento is 3-11 in away games this season while San Antonio is 6-8 at home. But I still expect that Sacramento will use their size advantage under boards while SA have key players injuries and lost 8 of last 10 games to much more easier opponents than Sacramento. Predicted score: San Antonio 64 - 73 Sacramento Bet On: Sacramento (-2.5) or Sacramento ML (medium-high stake) GAME: Charlotte Sting (9-20) at Phoenix Mercury (12-16)
Sports Book line: Phoenix -6 TOTAL: 165 If a spread would be lower I would try it again as I did in last Phoenix appearance in Chicago but 6 points is a tricky play. Charlotee is not easy to beat especially in front of their home crowd where they lose more than 10 points only against Connecticut this season. But Phoenix knows that San Antonio could lose today against Sacramento and will do their best to take the lead against Sacramento and get one step closer to Seattle which are 3 wins above now. I think that Phoenix will win today but 6 points spread is not a safe bet as for me. So no bet. GAME: Washington Mystics (16-13) at Seattle Storm (15-14)
SPREAD: Seattle -5.5 TOTAL: 157 Seattle is in must win situation and they 4 home games losing streak and this a first sign not to play Washington today because visitors don't have motivation to win while Seattle is still in playoff race mode. But the problem is that Seattle current form is not impressive especially in offense and this a second reason why I avoid betting on over in this game. If both disadvantages will be cleared today by Seattle we should see a clear over today but there is too much if in this prediction so I will skip this game too.
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