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8 winning WNBA picks for July, 30 PDF Print E-mail
Written by Alleks   
Sunday, 30 July 2006

Well today we have big day in WNBA championship with 7 games. It will take too much time  to write detailed write-up for all games so I'll try to review each game where I don't see good bet in short and other games where we can do some profit I will review in more detailed way.

I will start my betting review from confident plays and finish with no bet games.

Charlotte Sting (8-19) at Washington Mystics (14-13)
Sport Book Line: Washington -6.5 TOTAL: 154

Only 7 games left in regular season and Charlotte have 6 wins less that Washington. This game had to be a key game for Charlotte postseason hopes but they have experienced 2 unexpected losses to Minnesota and NY last night. And those losses have killed all their real chances to clinch a playoff spot. Their mentality should be broken today because there is no chance  to win all left 7 games and expect that Washington will lose all 7 games starting from today's game.

  Washington goes in complete different way. They won against Chicago at home 89-74 and won against Indiana away last night 74-67. And both wins were fully deserved because of great team chemistry and performance. By winning today they will clinch a play off spot and this is a great motivation sign as for me.

I already talked about Washington winning mentality at home and their average so I would repeat again all those thoughts. I expect the same or even better performance from Washington like they had with Chicago 3 days ago. I expect them to score 85+ points while Charlotte is scoring 77 points in average in last 8 games and Washington allows 76 at home. 

So a final conclusion. I expect that Washington will continue their winning strike by trashing Charlotte today and getting an official playoff ticket.

Predicted score: Washington 87 - 74 Charlotte

Bet on: Washington -6.5 (medium-high stake)
Bet on: OVER 154 (medium-high stake)
Bet on: Washington OVER 80.5 (medium stake)

Minnesota Lynx (9-17) at New York Liberty (6-20)
Sport Book Line: New York 2.5 TOTAL: 150

Minessota have 13-13 OVER/UNDER season record but they have not beat a total in last 5 games by hitting only 63.4 points in last 5 games. But the main reason of such low scoring is a opponents factor. They have played with Sacramento, Houston, Charlotte and Chicago. All those teams are defensive minded and had motivation in those games. Today Minnesota will play against not-motivated team which is in good form and like open-style game.

Minnesota is still have troubles in defence and allowing 82.4 points in 9 of last 10 games. NY allowed 70+ points in last 10 games so I think that this game should be more open and their first game which ended NY win 93-83 is a good sign to play over  again while line is affected by poor Minnesota performance in last 5 games.

Bet on: OVER 150 (medium stakes)

Detroit Shock (18-7) at Sacramento Monarchs (16-11)
Sport Book Line: Sacramento -3 TOTAL: 141

Sacramento is home team and knows how to win against Detroit. And now they have a revenge factor after Wednesday loss 71-91 away. The only trouble I see here is that Sacramento should remember about their defence today and control boards because this is their only chance to win a game, but for some reason I think that they will get it in hard battle.

Predicted score: Sacramento 68 - 65 Detroit

Bet on: Sacramento ML (low stake)
Bet on: UNDER 141 (low stake)

Houston Comets (15-12) at Phoenix Mercury (11-15)
Sports Book line: Phoenix -3.5 TOTAL: 159

This is a public game where public expects Phoenix revenge and their playoff chances resurrection. But there is rule in basketball that defence wins a game and in this match the only team which really know what word defence means is a Houston side which had 14 points difference in first match.

But this is probably a key game for Phoenix and I expect their leaders to be on top today. But talking about their chances to win a game it's difficult to say what to expect. I think that Phoenix will win but I am not so sure to bet on them today because Houston are also in must-win situation but they don't have that psychological pressing today.

What is a best bet for this game if you planning to watch this game on TV? Here is a hint from Sheryl Swoopes:

"They are phenomenal," Sheryl Swoopes said. "We knew coming into the game what they're capable of. They have been doing it all season long.

"It's almost impossible to stop them. The key is to only allow them to get their points and not allow the rest of the team to score.

So let's trust her words.

Bet on: Taurazi to score >23.5 points (medium-low stake)
Bet on: Pondexter to score >21.5 points (medium-low stake)

San Antonio Silver Stars (12-14) at Connecticut Sun (20-6)
Sports Book Line: Connecticut -11.5 TOTAL: 153

No bet game. Stars needs to collect wins to stay in the battle and Connecticut are in fight for regular season champion name. Here is a big class difference but all will depends only on psychological factor so I'll skip this game.

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