Free Daily NBA Picks
5 Free NBA Picks For Friday Night PDF Print E-mail
Written by Alleks   
Friday, 17 November 2006

Chicago Bulls at SA Spurs
For me Bulls are 90 points team and till now they failed to score less than 89 points only once in Sacramento  88-89. Today they will met Spurs, sure Spurs will be motivated after loss to Charlotte but I still don't see their defence. They are 92.8 points in defence and allowed 90+ points in 6 of 8 played games. So for me more correct Bulls total is about 91 points points and maybe more if Ben Gordon will continue his shooting night which he had in last game at Houston.

In offense Spurs scored 95+ points in 6 of 8 games while their average is 190.5 points per game. And more of that Spurs is 104.5 pts against Bulls in last 4 home matches. So I see this game ending somewhere about 102-92 for Spurs and it's worth to try an over here.


Free NBA Pick #1: Over 182.5

Philadelphia Sixers at Phoenix Suns
The Sixers (4-3) broke a three-game skid Wednesday in Seattle with ex-Arizona star Andre Iguodala tallying 12 points, nine assists and eight rebounds. Allen Iverson ranks third in the NBA with 29.4 points per game. Chris Webber, shooting 37 percent, is seeing less playing time.

Suns guard Raja Bell got to the NBA on all-out effort and vigor. Turning down his intensity dial is no easy task, even when he returns to the starting lineup tonight with sore ribs beneath a padded vest.Steve Nash left practice early Thursday because of his back and is questionable for tonight's game. He tweaked his back when he slipped during Monday's practice.

In last game we have Amare'2004-2005 version when whole Phoenix were rolling in NBA with their high scoring basketball. And seems that they have found their rhytm this season and only problem I see here is Nash status for this game and bench players performance in last game with Memphis when they scored only 7 points in last quarter. But what can you say about 39 3-pointers attempts in that game and 25 Amare points scored from 2pts zone? Seems that this team find their offense and I expect this offense show-time today even if Steve Nash will stay on the bench or play limited minutes. But honestly speaking Phoenix Suns are not 5-2 but 2-5 and this should be a great motivation factor for them especially against Philadelphia which is struggling at Phoenix every year.

Hot trends to consider:

Head to Head
Favorite is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
Home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
76ers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Phoenix.
76ers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

Over/under
Over is 8-3 in 76ers last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.
Over is 4-0 in Suns last 4 vs. Eastern Conference.
Over is 5-1 in Suns last 6 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5.
Over is 8-2 in Suns last 10 games following a S.U. win.
Over is 4-1 in Suns last 5 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5.


Both teams are well rested so I expect super high scoring game and Phoenix to blow out Iverson and his Sixers again.

Free NBA Pick #2: Over 212.5
Free NBA Pick #3: Phoenix -7.5
P.S. Both picks are good if Nash will play if not it's to lower your stakes.

New Jersey Nets at Indiana Pacers
I don't have time to write long write up here. The reasons are simple:

1. Indiana Pacers don't have weapons to stop Vince Carter (look at their playoff series)
2. Nets scored 95 and 96 points in playoff series to slow tempo Pacers and today they will score even more to high-tempo Pacers
3. I think that Pacers are not so good yet to beat Nets easily

So I recommend you to consider following picks:

Free NBA Pick #4: NJ to score >91
Free NBA Pick #5: NJ +5

 
3 Free NBA Picks for Tuesday Night PDF Print E-mail
Written by Alleks   
Tuesday, 14 November 2006

Chicago Bulls at Dallas Mavericks

Key game quotes from Dallas Morning News

"We want to leave it all out there," Stackhouse said. "You don't want to look back and say, we lost a game by one point and I had an opportunity to get down there and get a loose ball and didn't because I felt we could get it done later in the game. That's the mentality that we want to have as a group. And we're getting there."

"We're starting to understand we have to play our way, our system," Jason Terry said. "We talked about it and harped on it for two years. Going into year three [under Johnson], it's something we have to do consistently on a night-in, night-out basis. It has to be a constant. It can't be a quarter or a half where we slack off. We got to do what we have to do to be successful. That's what got us where we were last year."


Who's hot? Jerry Stackhouse , Terry and Dampier
In three games as the starter in place of Josh Howard, the 6-6 Stackhouse has averaged 17 points and shot a robust 21-of-42 from the field. ... Jason Terry is riding a hot streak, too. He's averaging 25.7 points in the last three games and has hit 10 of 19 shots from 3-point range. ... Erick Dampier has had at least seven rebounds in four of the last five games.

Who's not? Ben Gordon
The Bulls guard followed up a 1-of-10 shooting night with a 1-of-8 showing Saturday against Indiana. But the streaky shooter is capable of popping off for 37, as he did against Milwaukee last week. ... The Bulls as a whole haven't exactly been scorching the earth. Since that opening-night blowout of Miami, they are a pedestrian 2-3.

Betting analysis:
Dallas lost both home games at the start of the season, they lost last 2 home games in NBA Finals.. 4 losses in a row at home.. That's where I see a key factor for jumping on Dallas handicap. Bulls were a public team in first season games but according to today's line this is a last time when bookies give them some public credit in away match. This line should be about 6-7 points for Mavs as for me and even this would not stop me from betting on them. Because they have weapons to destroy Bulls like Cleveland did last week. Mavs have size under basket (Dampier  + Nowitzki), hot quards and forwards (Stackhouse, Terry) and deeeeep bench with experienced players, and finally home court where they can beat any opponent in this league, and finaly they need to reestablish their status in front of their crowd.

I expect easy Dallas Mavs win by 10+ pts spread.

Free NBA Pick #1: Dallas (-5) @ 1.91 PinnacleSports 

Denver Nuggets at Miami Heat
Denver scored 100+ points in last 4 games with Miami but more important factor is that Miami accepted Denver game style in last season games and allowed them to make 80+ FG attempts per game. Looks that Denver found their offensive rhythm and last 4 games proves this (108 pts in average), but defence still looks poor they allowed 100+ points in 5 of 6 games so far.

Miami is not so great offensive as we used to see them in the end of last season and possible reason is that all teams they played so far are half-court teams (NJ, Chicago, Houston) and most of these teams use defence for winning their games.

Denver is another story, they are running team and their force their opponents to play more in offense. I expect Miami Heat to accept Denver game today and I think that both teams will score more than 100 points. I also think that Denver could cover here but I their 2 wins against poor Philadelphia and Charlotte still not enough for my trust.

Predicted score: Denver 101 - 106 Miami

Free NBA Pick #2: Over 199 @ 1.98 PinnacleSports 

Toronto Raptors at Golden State Warriors
Raptors allowed 100+ points in 5 of 6 season games and scoring 99.1 pts per game. Warriors is kind of team which can score 115+ points and at home they usuallu unstoppable by playing fast full court game, and the only way to stop their offense is to play low-tempo. I can't see Raptors playing half court game when they opponent invite them to open-style game, and this is a main reason why I think that this game will be 215-225 points game. I know that till now they did not have such high-scoring games but they were close to 210 pts mark and today I expect them to score more than 215 points. Something like 113-104 is expected.

Free NBA Pick #3: Over 212 @ 1.94 PinnacleSports 

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Free NBA Pick: Cavaliers at New York Knicks PDF Print E-mail
Written by Alleks   
Monday, 13 November 2006

Cleveland Cavaliers at New York Knicks
Knicks are searching for their first home win and today they have opponent they like to play against. Knicks had won 5 of last 6 head-to-head games with Cleveland and were really close to 6-0 record against Cavs but they lost last quarter in Cleveland by 11 points and lost that game. But they still hold 4-0 ATS record and looking into line moving seems that bookies expect Knicks to continue this trend today. I agree with them because they know how to stop Lebron James (he is averaging only 22.8 pts per game), they have character and they play at Madison Square Garden.

Maybe they would win this game but I expect them at least to have a close game. But I feel that today we will see first Knicks home win. So I will buy 2 points at Bet365.com for Knicks to increase my confidence and Knicks chances.

Pick: Knicks +7.5 @ 1.74 Bet365.com

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