Euroleague
Euroleague Top-16. Week 3 Picks. Thursday
Both picks lost yesterday and I can't call those lose unlucky. They were just wrong. But you don't do mistakes if you are not working. Don't have enough time for long write ups so will be short today.
CSKA - Galatasaray
Easy job for CSKA. Line set more or less fair. My line -21.5/154.5. Could be nice match in-lay in terms of under betting. I don't expect this game to go over the 163 points but if first half will be high scoring while CSKA main roster is on the field line can raise up to 162-164 points where it is worth to take under.
Fenerbahce Ulker - Panathinaikos
PAO does not looks like a machine this season but line still respects them. I think that Ulker can take victory here but their current form is under question and this is my only reason to skip their handicap. Under 148 looks good too but not enough value because my line is just 3.5 points lower.
Unicaja - Montepaschi
High stakes here because Montepaschi is top-level team and I can't understand why Real Madrid goes with -5.5 in Malaga and Montepaschi goes just with -1.5 or -2. Unicaja motivated? Ok. But Montepaschi also want to be first in this group to avoid CSKA in quarterfinals. Montepaschi has one of the best away defenses in Europe (actually the best but Barcelona can play much better if it wants) and I expect Unicaja to fail score 75 points. Montepaschi on other with McCalebb is unstopable and should score 78-85 points.
Pick: Montepaschi (-2) @ 1.93 6/10 Pinnacle
Cantu - Maccabi
I see pretty close match here with possible home win. Cantu has enough skills to win against Maccabi which does not have really big stars in their team. I would set Cantu as -2.5 favorite here.
Pick: Cantu +4 @ 1.97 4/10 188bet, William Hill
Barcelona - Zalgiris
Zalgiris is so bad defensively that I don't see them stopping Barcelona at home under 80 points. Offensively they were looking ok, but 1) Barcelona defense is a brand and noone can play there at their normal percentage 2) M.Popovic second leading scorer of them left in Kaunas due the injury and Weems don't feel well in this real basketball when defense starting to rock.. In first game versus Maccabi he scored just 2 points, versus Cantu 14 points but 6 turnovers!
I see Barcelona somewhere in 80+ points zone and Zalgiris in 59-68 points. Expected score 84:64 or something close to it.
Pick: Barcelona (-15.5) @ 1.94 2/10 Pinnacle
Euroleague