Euroleague
Euroleague Top-16. Week 2 Picks. Wednesday
Real Madrid - Montepaschi
The most interesting match today between two grands which are main candidates to enter Final Four 4 in Istanbul. Mirotic is questionable for P.Laso while Montepaschi still missing Kaukenas and Lavrinovic.
I simply can't accept Montepaschi as 7 points dog in Madrid. Teams are on the same level of quality, but Montepaschi has more experience at this stage something that young and ambitious Real do not have. Defensively Siena is very good team and I have big doubts that Real will be so solid in offense as they were in previous games. I see both teams finishing in 73-84 points range and I expect close game between these two.
I have expected maximum -5.5 handicap on Real Madrid and +7 is surely a bet.
Pick: Montepaschi +7 @ 1.91 Bet365
Cantu - Zalgiris
Public goes with under here because of Cantu underish results but let's not forget about other side of the game. So far Cantu mostly played against slow paced team with defensive aproach. Zalgiris is different team. Thet have sloppy defense, tends to play high paced basketball and usually looks more or less normal offensively. I think that pace of the game will be 9-10 posessions higher and Cantu should score around 79-85 points while Zalgiris should finish between 69 and 75 points.
Pick: over 148 @ 1.93 3/10 Pinnacle
CSKA - Efes Pilsen
CSKA is too good for Efes Pilsen. I expect CSKA to score 80+ and stop Efes under 70 points. With such expectation it worth taking CSKA -12 points but this one is looking more like a lean or tv-pick. Something we should avoid if we want to stay profitable in long term.
Other today games are not so interested for me in terms of betting and in most of them I have the same line as bookies.
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