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Written by Alleks
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Tuesday, 27 November 2007 |
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 Again this crazy ULEB Cup competition,,. I don't like this competition because most of my picks based on team news and own knowledge. Here in ULEB Cup we have too much teams with too many unknown players, troubles, injuries and motivation issues. Also bookmakers are moving lines very fast and public make line more fair every 15 minutes. That's why it's hard for me to find value here.
But anyway I will provide you with some of my betting leans for ULEB Cup in this review. Maybe this would help to find better picks.
D. Bank Skyliners - SLUC Nancy
Skyliners still without Roller and Archibong. Nancy with full roster available. Very important match for both teams especially for Nancy if they want to have good chances for promotion into next round. Nancy should defend very strong and hold Skyliners under 70 points. Skyliners will play their low tempo game and I am not sure about Nancy offense scoring over 78-80 points. In my opionion we can expect defensive battle here and under 152 could be a good option here.
Expected score: Skyliners 68 - 74 Nancy
Lean: under 152, Nancy to win
Artland - Benetton
Artland is full of basketball fans and ULEB Cup matches should be a big town holiday. Artland is very strong home team and I believe that they will do all what depends from them to promote into next round. Benetton is not yet in optimal conditions and after losing 2 home games I hardly seem them being motivated in this ULEB competition. They have too much problems in their domestic league to fight. They changed coach one week ago but I expect Oktau Mahmuti will try to use ULEB Cup games for his team adjustments. He needs to find out what works and what is not working here. Also according to some market rumors (not confirmed) Benetton planning to make some some transfer moves. Press talks about Gigli, Chalmers and Maresca to being traded into Milano, Pesaro or Cantu. So it's really hard to expect Benetton to regain at their best in Germany.
I predict Artland to win at home and with their great fan support they will do it. Line on Artland to win is already dropping from 2.2 down to 2.0 and I think it will stop somewhere on Artland to win @ 1.85. Artland should be a favorite here.
Lean: Artland to win
Nymburk - Telindus Oostende
Both teams have many americans in the roster and both teams like to play uptempo. 156.5 is correct line from statistical point of view but I think that defensive numbers are a bit overstimated here. Both teams are playing in very weak championships where their opponents simply don't enough weapons to score more than 60-70 points. While both Oostende and Nymburk are scoring 78-80 in every game. I expect both team to score at least 77-78 points today and more correct line for this match should be around 159-163 points.
Lean: Over 155.5
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