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 BC Khimky Moscow - DKV Joventut Badalona
2 big teams meet each other in 1/8 finals. Too early stage for such big game between 2 teams worth spot in ULEB Cup final. It's very hard to predict winner for this game because Khimki is looking like a solid team especially at home but their mentality is something we should consider when talking about series outcome. Khimki don't have winning mentality in BIG games and I expect them to lose this series but series outcome will be decided in Spain in 2nd leg. As for this game in Russia I totaly agree with bookmakers opinion: Khimki is a slight favorite to win this game because of home factor and motivation. But I am not satisfied with Khimki preparation for this series. Veremeenko, Raineko, Ewing and McCarthy were hit by injuries, however only Veremeenko will not be included into roster for this game all others are ready.
Joventud is very dangerous team with big ambitions. Their coach said that he will be satisfied with small loss but I am sure that Joventud will play for a win. I checked their last game stats and noticed that noone was able to slow down game tempo. All games ended with 170+ possessions and I expect another high tempo game today in Russia. Khimki had many troubles when defending in pick-n-roll situations against Ural Great and maybe these defensive troubles will be with them today against very fast and very offensive powerful DKV Joventud.
I can't say that 160.5 is wrong line. Statistically it looks like fair one but taking into account that both teams have good offensive power and high tempo game is very probably I think that 164.5 pts total line would be more fair. But this only my opinion.
Pick: Over 161.5 @ 1.92 4/10 PinnacleSports
KK Zadar - Pamesa Valencia
Zadar head coach said the his team will try to risk more by increasing game tempo. I think this is their only chance to make 10+ margin and have some chances in 2nd leg. Pamese on other side can play both type of games fast tempo and up tempo. They have many players who can score points and for me 150.5 pts line looks a bit too low. My own line is 79.5-77 into Zadar side so over 150.5 looks promising for medium-low stake. Medium low because statisticaly both team can defend under 73 points. But I expect to see 153-157 total after 40 minutes. Pick: Over 151 @ 1.94 4/10 PinnacleSports Lukoil Akademik Sofia - Dynamo Moscow
Dynamo plays at high tempo usually as well as Lukoil. But total here set at 166.5 pts mark and that looks fair one. Dynamo is better side here too but I don't trust them in away matches especially on such hot courts like bulgarian. Maybe over166.5 worth a small stake if you plan to watch this game.
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