As for today I decided to take following picks on U-20 Women Eurobasket campaign. I am sorry for short writeups ut such quick tournaments are mostly based on statistical analysis and own intuition. Feel free to ask any questions in comments section if you have them.

Lithuania vs. Bulgaria
2 worst defenses plays each other. And 128.5 points total is too low in my opinion. Both teams can score 60+ points as well as allow up to 85 points per game. Game is important for both teams but I think that this line should be at least 7.5-8 points higher. I expect to see 135-145 points game here.

Pick: Over 128.5  @ 1.85 bwin

Serbia vs. France
2 superdefensive teams. Both teams limit opponents under 60 points and also both playing low tempo game with small amount of 3 pointers released. Serbia looks slightly better in offense but let's how they will perform against athletic and very tough to break French defense. I would not be surprised to see both teams not scoring 60 points. Statistically correct line in my opinion should be 66.5-59 but I would try under anyway. My total estimation for this game: 110-120 points.

Pick: Under 128.5 @ 1.85 bwin

Turkey vs Czech Republic
In my rating Turkey is a Top-6 team on this tournament. Czechs played bad in both games against Greece and Latvia but managed to win in the end. Turkey is a class better team than any of the opponents chezchs were playing so far in a group. But Turkey unexpectedly lost against Latvia by wasting 11 points lead in 3 quarter and that is the only reason why they are only 2.5 pts favorites in this game. Don't forget that Turkey is the only team who beat France in friendlies, also they won against Spain which is one of the favorites here in Italy. Czechs on other side lost games to Slovakia (Division B) and Germany (one of the outsiders in A division) + had very tough games against Latvia and Greece. Turkey motivation should be huge too because they need points in 2nd stage and today's win is much important for them than for the Czechs.

Pick: Turkey (-2.5) @ 1.85 bwin
 

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