Game of the day in ACB league. DKV is looking as really hot team this year with one loss to Athletic Bilbao but honestly speaking I see bit of luck in the schedule in their record. Till now they played only 1 game against top team at home against Barcelona while other opponents were weak ULEB Cup teams or average spanish teams. Real Madrid is really big team with great defense and experience. Real rested key players in EL game against Fenerbahce and it means that key game for them is this game vs Joventud. Motivation? Motivation is 1st place in ACB League which quarantees Euroleague spot next season. Sure the same motivation is on Joventud side but looking into size and experience I rate Real Madrid as a better team.

But my official for this game will be Under. Public loves Joventud because of their offensive style and this forced bookmakers to set such high total for this game. But I want to ask you to take closer look into team defenses. Joventud allowed opponents to score over 76 points only in 6 of 17 games. While Real is knows as one of the best defensive team in Europe. This year they let opponents to score over 85 points only in 3 games so both teams tends to now allow opponents to score over 80 points. 

Both teams knows each other very well and here is key trend for this game. In last 15 matches between these teams they managed to score over 164 points only once (and only because of 59 points in last quarter). And average total is only 147.5 points. I think that both coaches knows that this game is going to be low tempo defensive battle like it was in last year playoffs. Real Madrid knows how to stop run-and-gun Joventud basketball and I believe they will involve Joventud into low-tempo game like they alway did.

I expect 150-156 points game and I will try to go against the public here with under 164.

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