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ACB League Pick: CB Granada vs Joventud PDF Print E-mail
Written by Alleks   
Saturday, 12 January 2008
CB Granada vs Joventud
CB Granada needs to win this one to qualify into Spanish Cup - very important and prestigiuos competition in Spain. The coach of CB Grenada, Sergio Valdeolmillos, recovers for the match his main option at center position Curtis Borchardt and quard Samo Udrih, absent in the last match with TAU, but may Rafa Vidaurreta (not important) is out because he was injured in the car crash. The Palacio where Granada currently have one of the record in league (6-1) recorded the best entry in recent years, as they have been installed for extra bleachers and chairs and full insurance. So absolutely crazy support is expected today for the hosts in most historical match.


On other side we have Joventud which lost 5 of 6 last games and currently this team is in crisis after strong start (normal thing for top club in January and February). They have small motivation here because they already qualified into Spanish Cup. Joventud coach have big problems with a roster because Pau Ribas (plantar fasciitis), Eduardo Hernandez-Sonseca (sprained left finger), Rudy Fernandez (gastroenteritis) are questionable for this game. And Lubos Barton, who has not trained since last Tuesday due to ear infections is expected to play, but the technician, Aito Garcia Reneses registeed Pere Tomas from junior team for this match in Grenada.

If this game would be regular and would not be so important for Granada and Joventud would be in optimal conditions I would agree with this line. But in such circumstances I definetely can't agree with given odds. Granada proved that they can win against Unicaja, Girona. last year they won against Tau Ceramica. This team can win against any team in Spanish league at home and with Joventud troubles with the roster I see Granada as clear favorite with odds around 1.55-1.60.

I expect Granada to win this one by 5-10 points and hope to see them in Spanish Cup.

Pick: CB Granada @ 2.35 4/10 Expekt.com
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Comments
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Zokac   |2008-01-12 17:04:38
With Respekt!!!!
nivaldo   |2008-01-12 17:35:32
This one remindes me of some of your picks in recent weeks when you were backing
weaker sides at homecourts(Olimpija, Varese, Alba)and it wasn't very succeseful
contrary to many others. But unlike those this one wil be closer and I think
it's Granada's win too.
nivaldo   |2008-01-12 17:37:12
Anyway thanks for your picks.
Alleks  - re:   |2008-01-12 23:52:56
nivaldo wrote:
This one remindes me of some of your picks in recent weeks when you were
backing weaker sides at homecourts(Olimpija, Varese, Alba)and it
wasn't very succeseful contrary to many others. But unlike those this
one wil be closer and I think it's Granada's win too.


Thank your for posting here. I think that in our business to find a value
is most important thing. Sometimes I am wrong with value picks
because usually we see favorite with low odds and if I see some value
I usually try picks. But for those who is new here I want to remind that
it's highly recommended to understand that 4/10 is only medium-low
stake, while your medium stake should not be higher than 2.5% of your bankroll if are playing not just for fun. In other words you should know that
advices published is only advices on some matches.. Here I am posting only 15-20% of all my picks and taking into account that my average hitting rate is around 55-60%
there is a big risk that pick published here would not win. But usually
I publish most interesting picks according to my feelings.

As for
today's pick it was 50/50 game until 39 minute but than Granada failed and
lost this game in the end.. also they had +8 in the 3rd quarter and
value was here.. but pick lost
nivaldo   |2008-01-13 04:31:59
Hitting rate around 55-60% is exactly why I'm visiting this site but also like
the way You thinking. It's hard to find tipsters with better hitting rate who
are publishing their picks.
Honestly I never take other people's picks just
looking at some good previews (not neccesarilly betting previews) gives me idea
how to put pieces together and than try to predict.
As for today's pick I took
under 164 in the last moment cause I got the idea that it will be hard game with
preasure on Granada to make historical success.
4zsg  - Granada lost......   |2008-01-13 11:23:56
76:85
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