WNBA Finals. Game 1 Thoughts and Pick

Written by Alleks

Wednesday, 30 August 2006

WNBA Finals / Game 1
Sacramento Monarchs at Detroit Shock
SportsBook Line: Spread -4 Total: 137

Honestly speaking this game is very tough to predict as all finals are. We have two teams in really superb form and very less value having h-2-h stats because in both games home trashed visitors, but if Detroit destroyed Monarchs in last quarter, Sacramento did this in second quarter. But I doubt this scenario will be happen today. Personally for Sacramento are a bit better team because they have deeper bench and don't have that psychological pressing as Detroit have.

The only common factor in both games was higher than usual amount of free throws. It tells about very aggressive and physical game and the same one I expect to see today in Game 1 of this finals. I think that this physical game was main reason why in 7 of 8 quarters were played on over 35 points.

Both coaches and players in interviews said this should be a defensive battle and I agree with them but seems that both team show defence by making a lot of fouls and this increase their offensive performance.

Hard pick and risky one taking into account that this is a final but I think that this game could be finished in 140-143 points range, slightly over than sports books expect.

Predicted score: Detroit 73 - 67 Sacramento

Pick: Over 137 (medium-low confidence)

Comments

Add New