|
Honestly speaking is difficult to predict and it is better to skip it at all. But I will try to give my short analysis of this game, maybe it would be interesting for you. Detroit Shock (28-13) at Sacramento Monarchs (26-14)
Spread: -5.5 Total: 144 Game 4. Sacramento leads 2-1 in a series and 9-3 in quarters. Sacramento have better chemistry and better team in overall looking into this season matchups. But... there are some factors which I don't like today. Sacramento proved that their better team in first 3 games and now all bettors wager home spread and line has moved from -5 to -6 and keeps moving to -6.5. Seems that public crowned champions before they earned this. And all interviews in a press are about this. While to only problem is turnovers.
68 turnovers which cost 62 points Monarchs scored from their turnovers. While the total score of 3 games is 247-213 for Sac side. If they would make at least their season average of 14.5 TO Sacramento would score 25 points less and Detroit would score 10 points more and game 3 game result total result would be very close. That's why I think that it's too early to be so confident in Sacramento side. So the Shock game plan should be: limit turnovers and take off those easy points from Sacramento. If this plan will work today this game will become unpredictable and Sacramento will be forced to work more in defence to take control of the game. If plan would not work and Sacramento will get early lead in this game I expect Shock to stop playing at all because seems that they have some problems inside the team. Most of the Experts at ESPN thinks in the same manner as me but nobody can predict if Shock will be able to play hard today. Anyway I think home crowd factor will be main factor and that pressure will kill Shock hopes today. I see 2 possible outcomes easy win for Sacramento or close game whith Sacramento winning play at the end. But I will hit under here, because one team according to my feeling would not score its total by 5-8 points. Predicted score: SAC 79 - 58 DET or SAC 72 - 69 DET Pick: UNDER 144 (low confidence)
Pick: SAC ML or Spread (-5.5) (medium confidence)
New articles on this topic:
Older articles on this topic: |
Free Picks 
