Home arrow Free Picks arrow LNB Week 3 Picks and Games Analysis
LNB Week 3 Picks and Games Analysis PDF Print E-mail
Written by Alleks   
Tuesday, 03 October 2006

Gravelines - Paris Racing
Very strange line for me here. Let's begin from total line where I see biggest value.

I agree that Gravelines is "over" team and we played them on weekend but seems that this team is also capable to play low-tempo games and it's not a Phoenix Suns who force low tempo teams to play open-style games. Look at their results with low tempo teams during preseason period:

BCM vs Pepinster: 74-56
BCM vs OSTENDE:   66-64
BCM vs Belgrade: 76-52

And their average defesive stats are only 73.5 pts per game including all other 6 games they played and which ended with higher total. Seems that this team really know what word defense mean but they show their defensive effort only if they need to show it.

On other side we have low tempo and very defensive minded Paris Racing which allowed only 117 points if 7 of 8 played quarters. This is only 16.7 pts per quarter or 67 points per game. There was only one quarter when they allowed 29 points and that quarter killed their chances in game because this team did not score more than 74 points during this season. And if they wants to win their game is easy as 1-2-3, they need to limit their opponents in offense down to 65 points.

I expect that none of the teams will be able to score 80 points in todays match, and more of that I think that this could be under 140 points game. Something like 72-68 is expected here. And under is today's pick of the day.

Pick: UNDER 154 @ 1.952 ($750 medium-high confidence)
Bookie: PinnacleSports


Chalon S - Dijon
I'll be short here. Chalon S have 11-2 record in their last 12 games and they beat Zalgiris, Asvel and Pau Orthez. This team should fight for top positions this year while Dijon is an average team which started their season well. If Chalon will play their game today Dijon would not have any chances to win it.

Pick: Chalon S (-3) @ 1.90 ($500 medium confidence)

Bookie: Bet365.com

Strasbourg IG vs Orthez
One more pick I can't miss. Strasbourh is really capable to win this game even without Cooper. And they will really motivated to do this because 0-3 start is surely not what they planned. They play at home where they are very strong so why they are underdogs here?

Strong start and good finish by Strasbourg is all what I need here. Sure it's only low stakes because I just want to increase odds.
 
Double Result: Strasbourg IG - Strasbourg IG @ 2.70 ($125 low confidence)

Bookie: Bet365.com

Comments
Add New Search
Alleks   |2006-10-03 23:17:42
Bourg - Roanne 2-29 at 6 minute. I can remember when I saw such score
in professional basketball..
Alleks   |2006-10-03 23:26:05
Strasbourg leads by 18 points and won 1st half.

Money, money, money
Must
be funny
In the rich man's world!
Money, money, money
Always sunny
In
the rich man's world!
Aha-ahaaa!
All the things I could do
If I had a
little money
It's a rich man's world!
It's a rich man's world!

(ะก) ABBA
fasciitis   |2006-10-03 23:47:09
good job alleks
Mighty   |2006-10-04 02:29:16
Excellent job Alleks
You are the MAN..

and by the way you sing good too
MatrixCRO   |2006-10-04 02:30:12
Nice work and continue like that, Alleks
Today was great day to bet on
basketball matches...
den7   |2006-10-04 02:52:25
No comment Alleks.
God bless you
Alleks   |2006-10-04 12:39:25
Bank: 11587 (+1587)
Picks Record: +7=0-4
MatrixCRO   |2006-10-04 16:00:04
Hy Alleks!
Tell me, could match Leverkusen - Alba go Over ? I think it
should
1st round:
Alba - Telekom B 73-85
Leverkusen - Braunschweig 95-83
Last
season match:
Leverkusen vs. Alba Berlin 89-95
...
Alleks   |2006-10-04 16:59:48
I think that Leverkusen OVER80.5 is a safer bet than over. The reason is that
Alba is still don't show confidence in attack and the only way I see them
winning today is to score 85-90 points. Bayer in last 12 games this neason never
have scored less than 79 points and I don't expect them score to less today.


Best bet for me here: Bayer over 80.5
Than: OVER 164.5
Than: Bayer +3.5
mowgli80  - todays game   |2006-10-04 17:19:26
Alleks, any picks for todays games?
MatrixCRO   |2006-10-04 18:04:05
Yes, I agree, that is 1 of the options from that match. Leverkusen is offensive
team, and Alba has shorter bench, some players are missing and there is a lot of
work to do in the defence
It s early stage of the season, and I don t think so
that Alba should be so big favourite...but 2 lost in a row ( Koln in Supercup
and Telekom B ), both matches at home, hm, so not good situation for Alba if
they lose today again.
MatrixCRO   |2006-10-04 18:48:41
As you mentioned, Alba hasn t confiedence in attack and there are some new
players and they need time to know eachother and get use to, maybe Alba not to
score around 85. 2 matches this season: vs Koln 74, and vs Telekom 73.
Alleks   |2006-10-05 00:29:11
Alba won but looking at stats I can't say that that was really run-and-gun
basketball. Seems that Alba are more slower team this year but they still rely
on 3-points shooting, but now looks they are not plannin to allow more than
82-85 points to their basket like it was last year.

Has anybody seen ALBA
game live? It would be interesting to hear from you some comments.
MatrixCRO   |2006-10-05 03:33:56
My friend watched the match, Alba is not the same team like last year, new
players are here, but it early stage of season, and it finished as me and my
friend thought. Alba under 85.
My suggestion for you Alleks is to continue with
euro - basketball, maybe later NBA, you are doing very good job. Leave other
sport field to other experts or colleagues.
Alleks   |2006-10-05 13:35:06
Sure Matrix, I am to planning to post any other sports predictions. My job is
eurobasketball and NBA.
mowgli80  - Philadelphia-Barcelona   |2006-10-05 14:59:50
Alleks,what do u think about Philadelphia-Barcelona match today? I want to go
for Phil -9.5@1.85. Please comment.
Write comment
Name:
Email:
 
Title:
UBBCode:
[b] [i] [u] [url] [quote] [code] [img] 
 
 
:angry::0:confused::cheer:B):evil::silly::dry::lol::kiss::D:pinch:
:(:shock::X:side::):P:unsure::woohoo::huh::whistle:;):s
:!::?::idea::arrow:
 

3.26 Copyright (C) 2008 Compojoom.com / Copyright (C) 2007 Alain Georgette / Copyright (C) 2006 Frantisek Hliva. All rights reserved."

New articles on this topic:
Older articles on this topic:
&lt&lt Previous Page                    Next Page&gt&gt
 
< Prev   Next >
RocketTheme Joomla Templates