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Written by Alleks   
Thursday, 05 October 2006

Honestly speakin I usually avoid betting on such game types but today I see wrong line and can't allow myself skip them. Sure it's recommended to play with big stakes such show-games but I will try at least with my virtual bank (in real life I bet only with medium stake on CSKA - Chimki, other 2 picks in parlay with low-stake)

So let's basketball show begin and let's say hi to your bookies :)

CSKA - Chimki
We have totally wrong line here as for me. Teams will play by NBA rules (48 minutes instead of 40 minutes like in Europe). That means teams will make 20% more attacks then they used to. So total line should up higher than normal by 20%. And what do we have here? 92.5 points after 24 minutes it's a 74 points per 20 minutes.

Can these teams score 75 points per 20 minutes? Sure they can, both teams have solid offensive power, they like to run and score easy points, they have enough shooters, finally Chimki coach has a birthday today and the most important factor it's an ALL STAR game type, not regular season game where result matters.

I absolutely don't understand this line and only that show-game factor stops me from high-stake.

Pick: 1st Half Total OVER 92.5 @ 1.83 ($750 medium-high confidence)
Bookie: SportingBet

Barcelona - Philadelphia 76ers
I don't see Philadephia scoring 99 points in this match. Sooner or later Barcelona will turn on their defense and european style and Iverson would not play 35-40 minutes for sure.

Pick: Philadelhia UNDER 98.5 ($500 medium confidence)
Bookie:
SportingBet

ASVEL - San Antonio Spurs
The same logic as in first pick. Asvel is capable to score 90-100 points if they opponent let them play. In this show game they will 48 minutes to reach 78 points. And for some reason I think that they will reach somewhere on 38-42 minute. Even at NBA 79.5 points is great defensive performance and I don't see reason why Spurs should show their defense today especially in friendly game.

Something like 84-96 or 86 - 105 is expected by me here.

Pick: ASVEL OVER 79.5 @ 1.909 ($250 medium-low confidence)

Comments
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3gamblers  - ODDS   |2006-10-05 19:44:17
here are my odds
ASVEL +20 vs Spurs
Barcelona +9 vs sixers,

what are ur
thots Alleks?
3gamblers   |2006-10-05 19:48:57
going with ASVEL!
Alleks   |2006-10-05 21:52:51
I think Barcelona can win today
4zsg   |2006-10-05 22:30:54
here are my Picks:

Barcelona -188,5
ASVL +20,5

i hope....
mat  - unibet   |2006-10-05 22:34:46
Adecco Asvel - San Antonio Spurs
Total Points Scored - Home Team. Including
Overtime.
Over 77.5 1.85
Under 77.5 1.85
unibet a litle beter
MatrixCRO   |2006-10-05 22:45:47
http://www.philly.com/mld/philly/sports/basketball /nba/15682562.htm

Check
this, Alleks
MatrixCRO   |2006-10-05 22:46:38
It looks like Under on that match...
Djan   |2006-10-05 23:09:50
Yeah it will be 40 minutes game. I agree with MatrixCRO, under looks good.
MatrixCRO   |2006-10-05 23:23:32
But few minutes later I found this:

http://www.euroleague.net/news/i/1024/180/h
ybrid-rules-for-nba-europe-live?smid=312
3gamblers   |2006-10-05 23:52:39
alright!
lets go ASVEL and barcelona! GL guys
Alleks   |2006-10-06 01:36:00
All games will be played by NBA rules.. American newspapers misleading us.
fasciitis   |2006-10-06 02:52:43
fucking three pointer by Iguadala
Alleks   |2006-10-06 02:53:44
Phila.. 3 point on last second and they score their 99 point.

but
it's ok anyway this is only a virtual bank and it's one prove that show games
are not to bet they are games to watch.

my congrats to barca
3gamblers   |2006-10-06 09:45:25
fuck..
Spurs covered
but barcelona = $
yeah..but i think we can make some
money on some of the games..
3gamblers   |2006-10-06 09:57:55
lets make some money tonite.
Tomorrow's Games 10/6

Clippers 120 pm

BC Khimki
Suns 30 pm
Lottomatica Roma
Alleks   |2006-10-06 20:21:03
Both games could be played over their total.

I am leaving a town for a
weekend and I think that this weekend I would not be able to post news picks..
but maybe Sunday I will have a chance.. let'see

good luck to you
mowgli80   |2006-10-06 21:08:36
Alleks, its a pity that u won't be available tomorrow as there r lot of games.
but anyway, good luck to u.
3gamblers   |2006-10-07 06:37:24
moscow -3 vs LA Clips.
defending champs will shove clip's ass...
3gamblers   |2006-10-08 09:33:43
moscow wins $$$
3gamblers  - NBA MONDAY   |2006-10-10 08:45:14
allecks,
any nba picks?
dyigi  - All sure   |2006-10-12 18:08:17
Hi, today we should bet on Pao against Aris, team which is in deep problem and
on Maroussi against Olympia, no comment about that game, just HW and handicap
+6, that's about Greek chapmionship.
About ACB, we have a big game betewen
Barcelona- Pamesa, both teams started with 2 loses. But more quality team is
Barcelona with Lakovic, Navaro, Bazzile, Marconato ...! And on the end is
Unijaha, team is in must win situation!
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