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Free NBA Picks for Monday, November 20 PDF Print E-mail
Written by Alleks   
Monday, 20 November 2006

Houston Rockets at New York Knicks
New York is allowing only 98.4 points in defence if we would not touch their last game with up-tempo Celtics when Boston scored 50 points from free throw line (!!!) by doing 68 FT attempts. In offence Knicks scored in the 90-96 range in 6 of 10 games played games. Sure they can score 100 points but they should play up tempo game to reach this number and I doubt that Houston will allow them to play full court basketball today.

Houston allowed less than 95 points in 7 of last 10 games while their average defensive ability is about 92.5 pts/game. In offence I can't say that Rockets are 100+ pts scoring team, they did only 2 times in 10 games and their average offensive performance is about 95.5 points. Today they will have advantage under the baskets and I expect another double-double from Yao Ming today but I don't think this will enough to score 100 points.

In last 2 seasons these teams average total was only 180,1 pts per game. And this season they had 197 points game but in 3 quarters of that game they scored only 143 points (47.6 per quarter) and I expect the same scoring today. I my opinion this game will end in 183-191 points range. Not more.

Free NBA Pick #1: Under 196 @ 1.91 PinnacleSports 


Phoenix Suns at Golden State Warriors

Series history

The Suns won three of four meetings last year and 29 of the last 39 overall. The Suns lead the all-time series 118-75 but are 44-51 in Oakland.

Scouting report

Warriors — With Don Nelson back on the bench and up-tempo back in vogue, Golden State won its fifth straight and ran its home record to 6-1 with a 107-95 win over Seattle Saturday. Without Troy Murphy (sore Achilles) and Ike Diogu, and with Baron Davis slowed by bruised ribs, Golden State used only seven players but got 31 points from Monta Ellis and 19 points and 12 rebounds from Mickael Pietrus. Murphy is questionable for tonight. Davis is expected to play.

Suns — Phoenix is still looking for its first road win (0-4) and hopes to have Steve Nash back tonight after his back felt better on Sunday. Leandro Barbosa has three straight double-doubles — the first three of his career — but is coming off a poor shooting night (4-for-16, 0-4 from 3-point range) against the Jazz.

Betting analysis

Bookies still waiting for official statements about Davis and Nash health but according to my web research both are likely to play and this will do this game a reach block buster. Over/under line is something a public is waiting for but I expect this total to be about 220-225 points and it's would be really hard to me to bet on any over or under here. But what I like here is that Phoenix Suns are 0-4 in away matches, but in all those game there had comfortable lead but did not manage to close a game.

But today Suns should be concetrated on getting this win. They have in-from Amare, Bell is playing well and Marion after 35-pts effort at Utah. If you will add well rested Steve Nash to this line up you will unstoppable scoring machine (Amare + Bell + Marion + Barbosa) with experience assist driver (Steve Nash)... I agree that GS are well looking right now but healthy Suns are just better than them and I'm pretty sure that if Suns would win at least 2 of those 4 away games and Steve Nash status would be clear we would see Suns as 4-5 points favorite today.

Predicted scenario

Formula-1 tempo game style with both teams scoring at least 115 points. Suns will win because of better experience, deeper bench and higher motivation. Suns are just better in all components (if Nash will play):

Predicted score


Suns  132
Warriors  120

Free NBA Pick #2:  Phoenix Suns +2 @ 1.820  PinnacleSports 

Comments
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Slobodan  - Uleb cup   |2006-11-20 19:43:19
I have noticed that you are not giving any uleb cup tips, and that makes me sad.
You are one of the best tipster for basketball on the net, and i would like to
read some comments about uleb cup from you.
Thank in advance
Alleks  - re: Uleb cup   |2006-11-20 19:58:00
Slobodan wrote:
I have noticed that you are not giving any uleb cup tips, and that makes me
sad. You are one of the best tipster for basketball on the net, and
i would like to read some comments about uleb cup from you.
Thank in
advance


ULEB Cup is one of the most unlogical eurocups because of it stupid
scheme and poor motivation (only winner gets something seriuos - place
in Euroleague).. I just don't like this cup honestly speaking.. and
sometimes I just don't have time to write predictions here.

But I will
try to post some picks in the future. I checked tomorrow line again
50/50 game with just few games to bet on...
brane  - nba game   |2006-11-20 21:04:29
Hi Alleks,
what about match Memphis-Orlando, will it be over 186?
Alleks   |2006-11-21 00:22:00
Hard to say.. looks like over but all is possible here. better to skip.
Anonymous   |2006-11-20 23:33:46
TOR Raptors v UTA Jazz
uta will win without kirilenko?
Alleks   |2006-11-21 00:22:48
yes kirilenko will be out but honestly speaking it's too dangerous to play
against team with such loosing strike like raptors have..
PETER   |2006-11-21 00:46:55
MAN, YOU ARE GREAT, KEEP UP THE GOOD WORK WITH YOUR PICKS.
MatrixCRO   |2006-11-21 01:38:36
1 question: Nash playing or not? I believe not
And it s Monday, it used to be a
lot of Unders in the past...:-)
3gamblers   |2006-11-21 03:51:22
like it
3gamblers   |2006-11-21 07:34:57
going with Toronto, phoenix, Portland as well
3gamblers   |2006-11-21 07:36:21
NASH WILL BE PLAYING
DAVIS IS OUT!!
3gamblers   |2006-11-21 07:42:27
THE UNDER PICK missed by 1 point!
3gamblers   |2006-11-21 08:12:44
2ND Q COLLAPSE BY THE SUNS!
3gamblers   |2006-11-21 09:56:56
SUNS WINNING BY 3..
nice hit
Alleks  - re:   |2006-11-21 10:01:31
3gamblers wrote:
THE UNDER PICK missed by 1 point!


Why missed? 97+90=186 and the pick was under 196
Arneko_Fe   |2006-11-21 11:45:22
3Gambler need more sleep

Btw, you are awesome. Waiting to see your future
picks !!!
3gamblers   |2006-11-21 11:50:54
hahaha
something in my eyes
$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
runesson   |2006-11-21 13:21:46
lovely
3gamblers   |2006-11-21 13:34:16
waiting for early lines for tomm.
but i like Clips...vs LA here
4zsg   |2006-11-21 14:18:34
Quote:
Alleks - re: Super Administrator

Why missed? 97+90=186 and the pick was
under 196



97+90 = 187 not 186!!!
3gamblers   |2006-11-21 14:53:52
hahahahah
bro allecks, something on ur eyes also?
jacksonville   |2006-11-21 16:07:22
What about today?
Cleveland - memphis 1
Indiana - Milwaukee 1
Dallas -
Washington 1
maybe Denver - Chicago 1
Emre  - 3 MATCHES   |2006-11-21 16:58:27
Hi guys for today I'll bet Memphis+12 (cavaliers having concentration problem in
easy matches 12 handicap is too much) Denver Under 209.5 (ok denver over 100 ok
but what about bulls? not to mention bulls defence will stop denver to hit
105-110) and Dallas Moneyline (theyre on a hot winning streak run)
GL everyone!
jayiverson   |2006-11-21 17:15:24
great picks again!
what about today's NBA?
ALLEKS?
3gamblers   |2006-11-21 17:33:54
lets all wait for the great Allecks pick...
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