|
San Antonio Spurs at Sacramento Kings Quotes from Covers.com preview:
There’s no arguing that the Sacramento Kings are a different team at home, and this year, they’re doing their best to make that impression early on. Sacramento opened its season with four straight wins at Arco Arena and is 3-1 against the spread. Though it’s not much of a surprise after their home dominance last season, when they went 27-14 straight up and 25-16 against the spread. here’s no arguing that the Sacramento Kings are a different team at home, and this year, they’re doing their best to make that impression early on. “Confidence has a lot to do with playing winning basketball,” says Covers Expert Ted Sevransky. “And there’s no doubt Sacramento has a lot of confidence playing at home.” A lot of the value in Kings home games also comes from their rabid fan base. Sacramento has a league-best 317 straight sellouts at Arco – an arena widely considered one of the loudest in the league. “The crowd is certainly a factor,” says Sevransky. “It’s very loud and can be very intimidating, especially to young teams. I don’t think it will intimidate an experienced team like the Spurs quite as much.” The Kings took Games 3 and 4 of their Western Conference quarterfinal by scores of 94-93 (as 2-point underdogs) and 102-84 (as 4 ½-point underdogs) before the Spurs closed out the series at Arco in Game 6, winning 105-83 as 2 ½-point favorites. One negative for the Kings is that they’ll have to tackle the Spurs’ formidable frontcourt without center Brad Miller. The 7-footer tore his plantar fascia in his left foot on Nov. 4 and will be out until at least mid-December. My betting analysis: This type of game is a type when I like to back on Spurs. They like to play so called "public games" and they like to show who is the best in NBA, and for sure they will be really motivated today at Arco arena. But Kings will be motivated too. And this game should be really interesting game to watch. I think that Spurs will win today because of "Duncan factor", Brad Miller loss will cost too much today for Kings under the basket where Duncan will be a king today. Duncan has four career 20-20 games against Kings, his most against any opponent. But I don't to back Spurs tonight because their defence is not working well and their road record is 4-0, sooner or later they will lose and today's public bet could be taken by bookies because everyone expect that Spurs will win. But I prefer to choose over 186.5 here because both teams are not superb in defence at this moment of the season. Spurs allowed 90+ points in 6 of 9 games (average 91.8), while Kings allowed in 5 of 8 (97.8). And both teams are scoring at least 90 points in most of their games. Today Kings game plan should be to overscore Spurs in full court game because they have no chances to win playing half court game without true centers. I expect both teams to score more than 95 points in case of close match or Spurs to score 100-105 points and Sacramento to score about 90-95 points if Spurs will win this game comfortably So the pick is: Pick: OVER 186
New articles on this topic:
Older articles on this topic: |
Free Picks 
