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Written by Alleks   
Wednesday, 08 November 2006

Indiana Pacers at Washington Wizards

From Washington Post:

"The Wizards aren't ready to panic over the 1-2 start, but forward Caron Butler said the team understands the importance of creating some momentum. This week would be a good time because the Wizards will play Eastern Conference opponents Indiana, Milwaukee and New Jersey at Verizon Center.

"We have to bring it right here and send a message about home court," said Butler, who is shooting 51.3 percent from the field. "It's early and it's a long season but we don't want to keep letting these close games get away from us. We learned last year how critical some of these games can be as the playoffs get close."

Betting analysis:
Indiana have 3-1 ATS record and 2-0 away ATS Record this year, but look with whom they played NY, New Orlean, Charlotte and Philadelphia. All these teams are not so strong as home placed Wizards. Pacers still have to improve their defense and find good rotation. Yesterday they had public TV game with Sixers and they won it quite confidently and that is a reason why today they will be more relaxed and not so motivated about winning.

Wizards have some kind of inside problems (I'm talking about Etan Thomas and Brendan Haywood fight in locker room) but in general according to Washington Post team have a lot of unused energy inside and they are really motivated to win at home. Last year Wizards won 2 games against Indiana (at home and away) and both wins were with 5+ points advantage. And I expect Wizards to be strong today and the only question is about covering HC. I will buy some points to feel myself more comfortable about my pick.

Free NBA Pick #1: Washigton Wizards (-5) @ 1.90

NY Knicks at Denver Nuggets
Denver should be really motivated today after 0-2 start, Nuggets knows how to play against Knicks and 3-1 ATS record in last 4 matches tells a lot about this. Bookies set handicap at 10 points mark and this hc is a bit risky to play because Denver is not in optimal condition yet but looking at NY Knicks defense they should score 100+ points today, while Knicks are still in search of their game and Francis loss will give more questions for Knicks coach. How to play against deep Nuggets.

I expect easy game for Denver but result will be done in first half and first half handicap will be my second pick for today.

Free NBA Pick #2: 1st Half Line Nuggets (-6.0) @ 1.97 Pinnacle


Phoenix Suns at San Antonio Spurs
Both team offensive power working great in the beginning of the season, SA had one bad night at with Cavaliers when they lost 81-88 but I don't expect the same performance from them today against open-style opponent like Suns are. Phoenix allowing 110 points per game and I don't see them closing Spurs today under 100 points. Line is bit affected by half-court risk game, because Phoenix showed some kind of defense in preseason but today when season have started they started to play mainly relying on their offense, unfortunately they are not successfull looking at winning record which is 1-3 only but Suns already showed that they can improve their game in one night and if they shots are falling into basket they can win anyone. That's why I avoid backing Spurs today but will try over 204.5 because both teams have all offensive weapons to score 100+ points today.

I recommend you to open account at PinnacleSports if you like betting on over/under in basketball because they have highest odds on this market.

Free NBA Pick #3: OVER 204.5 @ 1.943 Pinnacle


Comments
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jayiverson  - haha   |2006-11-09 12:55:04
the OT of spurs let me earn some money,all picks are right,good job,ALLEKS!
4zsg   |2006-11-09 13:38:12
perfect picks alleks, ....is very very good job!!!!
fasciitis   |2006-11-09 14:18:30
3/3
great action!!!
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