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Written by Alleks   
Friday, 29 December 2006

Milwaukee at Cleveland
M.Redd with his Bucks visiting Cleveland one day before Lebron birthday (he will celebrate it tomorrow officialy). This game will be 3rd in 4 nights for Bucks and usually this kind of game is first time when we should lay away team, because it's not easy to stay fresh & motivated playing this schedule especially when you did your job perfect and are not obligated to win.

Bucks won 6 games in a row and now they are a public team and press calls them as a "hot" team which won Spurs away. But stop.. let's be honest. Spurs are totally unpredictable team when we talk about not important games, it's a playoff or situational team. Ok. let's go further Bucks won against Memphis, NJ, Minnesota (2 times) and Miami.. and what? All these teams are loooking really bad right now and still can't find their game style and tactics due a different reasons. For me Bucks did what they must: they won their games and now it's time to play against them.

Cleveland is not yet a team to trust because they are trying to change their game style in offense and defense but right now they are concetrated on winning their games. Cavs are typical home team where they own 12-3 record this year and in away games they are not so well-playing. They have 2 tough games against Chicago away and against Spurs at home so they should be motivated to win today and taking into account that they have good h-2-h record I will back them today as I usually do when I see Cavs at home with less than 6 points favs.

Recent Meetings:
2/6/06 CLE 89 - MIL 86 (+3)
1/7/06 CLE 96 - MIL 88 (+8)
4/9/05 CLE 98 - MIL 81 (+17)
1/30/05 CLE 104 - MIL 87 (+17)
4/12/04 CLE 93 - MIL 89 (+4)

Head to Head Trends:
Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Cleveland.
Under is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings.
Favorite is 14-2-1 ATS
in the last 17 meetings.
Home team is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
Bucks are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Cleveland.

This game would not be easy for Cavs because if they would not be able to stop Bucks offense they will be forced to play better in offense but I still believe in them. Lebron have a good pre-birthday game and I hope a win.

Predicted score: Cavs 102 - 94 Bucks

Free NBA Pick#1: Cavs (-4) @ 1.76 Bet365.com

Denver at New Orleans

According to my information sources Chris Paul is out for one week with injury. And that's sounds like the end of the story for Hornets: Chris Paul (ankle), guard Peja Stojakovic (back), David West (elbow) and sixth man Bobby Jackson (cracked rib) - all injured. In terms of per-game averages, they represented 75.1 percent of the team's assists, 71.3 percent of the scoring and 49.3 percent of the rebounding. Sure that means nothing when we talk about NBA in general everything may happen there and we should not understimate any team but for this team it's simply too much. Chris was the last man who saved them and was a power of this team. If he will be out today as expected this game will be something really tough for Orleans.

Denver with supermotivated Iverson who continue scoring like sixers-version Iverson and this man will bring all his best to take another win and increase team chances to get this win. Bookies don't know how to deal right now with Nuggets when key player C. Anthony is out and new key-player Iverson is on the court. But looks like that Iverson is taking a lead over this team and nobody in New Orlean will stop him today from getting 3rd straight win and looking into 110 pts per game from Nuggets I can't see Hornets scoring even 95 points with such missings.

Predicted score: Hornets 92 - 105 Nuggets

Free NBA Pick#2: Denver (-4.5) @ 1.76 Bet365.com

Comments
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4zsg   |2006-12-29 21:05:44
Hi Alleks!!

What do you think Cavs under 204,5!! Is better pick or HC-5
??

ciao
Alleks   |2006-12-29 22:12:33
It's better to pick HC... Milwaukee played 40 consecutive quarter over 20
points...
chrom14   |2006-12-29 21:43:37
Denver @2.070 and Cavs @1.820 Pinnacle....
4zsg  - re:   |2006-12-29 22:54:02
Alleks wrote:
It's better to pick HC... Milwaukee played 40 consecutive quarter over 20
points...


ok thanks!1

New Orleans -98pts.
New Orleans-Denver
-199pts.
Toronto HC+3
New York -219
New York HC+12,5
New Jersey
ML

what`s your opinion Alleks??
dec   |2006-12-29 23:28:40
excelent picks
thankyou
alpha   |2006-12-30 00:17:20
Hi alleks

What about your stakes on these matches
thomas   |2006-12-30 00:23:19
-3,5 Denver 1.91 at Gamebookers

Nice bets!
Dabl ou Cheese   |2006-12-30 02:21:59
hey alleks why so late with picks ... today you can not go to the local bookie
because they arent working any more ...
Alleks   |2006-12-30 11:43:38
OPen online account
3gamblers  - PHX rocks!   |2006-12-30 10:09:37
so does CHARLOTTE kittys!! beating LAL in 3 OT!
Anonymous   |2006-12-31 21:31:54
New year for all

For today what do you thing about :

-suns ml ?

and
mavs ml?

cheers and good year for all
Rui   |2006-12-31 21:32:32
New year for all

For today what do you thing about :

-suns ml ?

and
mavs ml?

cheers and good year for all
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