Montepaschi Siena v Premiata Montegranaro  

We have 2 defensive minded teams here with one heavy favourite in Montepaschi face. First I can't agree with 20-points handicap in this match because Montegranaro is one of the toughest opponents in Italy and second, is that Montepaschi Siena did have any games during a week and they could lost their rhytm a bit. Offensively Montepaschi for sure is capable of scoring of 85+ points but against low pace team like Montegranaro they can choose another offensive style with long possesions and energy-saving mode for Euroleague matches. 

Montegranaro on other side is not looking very confident in offense. Their offense is struggling against low-pace and hard defense so against Montepaschi they could stay under 70 points easily. On defensive end Montegranaro looks solid with 76 pts in average and it's pretty hard to see how Montepaschi is going to score 90 points to them.

My total line is 85.5-68 and I think that both teams will not score 90 and 68 points respectively.

Pick: Under 159.5 @ 1.85 Unibet

 

Another pick I like today is Rieti-Billa over 147 points at PinnacleSports  but I don't have time for detailed writeup. 

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