Montepaschi Siena vs. Lottomatica Roma

151.5 total line looks low for me here. Both teams knows each other very well. With same coaches and rosters they played in last year Italian Legabasket league final and already played 2 times this season. So far in 7 of 8 played games they scored 150 and more points. Montepaschi home average is 92.5 and they usually find way to score 83-85 points at least so I would set 82.5-83 for home side here. On other side bookmakers set Roma's total on 70 points. Roma scored more than 70 points in all games against Montepaschi except one, also they have deep roster with nice 3-point shooting ability and even taking into consideration Montepaschi defensive skills I think that Roma have good chance to finish this game in 68-75 points range.

So my personal line for this game would be 83-72.5 and 155.5 pts line looks more fair for me here. Medium-low stakes are adviced because of Montepaschi defense.

Predicted score: Montepaschi 85 - 72 Roma

Pick: Over 151.5 @ 1.94 5/10 PinnacleSports

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