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Honestly speaking today's line is very tricky to play with medium-high stakes so I recommend you to lower your stakes before betting on today's NBA line. I see only 2 picks which worth a shot in this line. And here are they: Chicago Bulls at Denver Nuggets
As I already told in one of my previews Chicago Bulls is 90-95 points scoring team with any style opponent. But they failed to score 90 points in last matches against Spurs and Lakers but generally they were not so bad as result show. And the main reason is that they have one starter turned off in those games: with Spurs they had Nocioni scoring 1-10 from the field, with Lakers they had Kirk Hinrich with 1-7 performance from the field and Chris Duhon 0-5 (and Nocioni back with 30 points). And here is one interesting story I found on the Net (after game with Lakers): Kirk Hinrich stood solemnly just outside the shower, wrapped in a towel as if in shock. Ben Gordon walked glumly to his locker, head down. Players talked quietly, and then Andres Nocioni spoke, unhappy on what could have been a celebratory evening for him. "We lost... that's it," said Nocioni, who set career highs with 30 points and 6 of 9 three-pointers, the lone bullet in the Bulls' mostly empty gun. - "The last couple of games I played really bad, but when I came here tonight I [thought] about my shot, played hard. Now we have the game with Denver. We need to win. We are losing too many games." "This was one of the best efforts we had in a while," Skiles said. "We really played hard. Our defense was tight, ball movement was good. I thought beginning to end we did what we set out to do, which was play with intensity. We just couldn't make a shot." "The formula for us is having three or four or even five guys play well, but we couldn't get anything going," Skiles said. So what is the moral of this story? The moral is simple: sooner or later crazy Bulls will be back on track and why not to do this today? Tell me a reason why bookies set them only as 3 points underdogs? Don't you find it really strange? Team being on 4 games losing strike is only 3 point underdog against rolling Nuggets. Seems that bookies expect really close battle here and I agree with them. I like Bulls chances here but I still can't trust them to put my money into their win. That's simply is not my game style to play on the series especially when team is in questionable form, but what I expect from this match is Bulls' offence to comeback. Last year these teams had 2 games with the same squads (only Wallace was added to Bulls roster). And in 6 of 8 quarters 50+ points were scored and the game was faster. It means that Bulls have accepted Denver game style and the same I expect from them today. As you know Denver have beat 206 points total in 7 of 8 games and showing really good offensive performance, while their average total is about 212 points. I expect to both teams to score more than 100 points and if Bulls will be able to hold Nuggets under 105 points they will have a chance to win this game. Free NBA Pick #1: Over 205.5 @ 1.95 PinnacleSports Miami Heat at New Orlean Hornets “We`ve always been a semi-run, power post-up team and go from there and now we don`t have that, and we won`t have it for probably six weeks,” Riley told the Palm Beach Post. “You can`t reinvent the wheel in 24 hours, but probably over the next week we`ll change things offensively to get more people involved and see what we can do to be more efficient.” Last season games:
NO 107 - MIA 92 (199)
MIA 109 - NO 102 (211 in OT, 180 before OT) I am sure that both teams will score 90+ points today. Miami will try to push tempo and Hornets will accept their 'small ball' game. It's hard to tell who will win but I think that this line should be at least equal, because Miami can win without O'neal and they proved this already last season. But considering that Orleans is in-form team right I avoid to bet on Miami to cover handicap. Free NBA Pick #2: Over 182.5 @ 1.95 PinnacleSports
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