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Euroleague Week 7: Wednesday Selections PDF Print E-mail
Written by Alleks   
Wednesday, 05 December 2007

Euroleague LogoIt's already 7th week of Euroleague competition and with every round it becomes much harder to find value in the lines especially in the match day. Today's I don't see any wrong lines at all and that's why I decided not to provide any official picks.

Today will provide you with my points of view for the games. Hope this will help you to make right play on your betting account.

  VS

CSKA Moscow - Kinder Bologna

Papaloukas, Smodis and Savrasenko are out for CSKA. Siskauskas is back to the roster. Messina will play against his former club where he spent one of the best years of his career so we should expect motivated CSKA today. But unfortunately with such missings it's hard to predict game scenario. Kinder like to play fast but it would be very difficult for them to play their offensive style against low-tempo CSKA.

I expect CSKA to dictate tempo today and this will force both teams to play defense more. Very hard game to predict but my lean is on Under 157 because these numbers looks to high for CSKA with so many injuries. My line is 83.5-70.

Lean: Under 157

  VS

Efes Pilsen - Unicaja

Really like Efes Pilsen chances today for a win. They have full roster while Unicaja will miss Haislip, Gabriel and D.Kus have problems with back. Also Unicaja will meet Real Madrid this weekend and this game means nothing for them today. If they lose they will stay on the top of the group anyway because of better h-2-h record over Maccabi and Rytas. While Efes is still fighting for promotion from this group and in packed arena will have all keys to the win.

Handicap is already looking righ as I don't any value in 5.5-6 points handicap so my lean is Efes to win. Expected margin around 6-9 points.

Lean: Efes to win

  VS

Lietuvos Rytas - Cibona


After 2 losses in a row Rytas must show its level of play. They were looking good in Malaga but looks like these days Rytas is a bit overstimated by bookies. At least when we talking about winning margin. Today I expect Rytas to win but handicap line looks fair for me as well as money line odds. Over/under line also set well and it's hard to predict is there any value or not. I expect Rytas to win by 8-13 but maybe it's because I like Rytas too much and want to see such spread. Anyway it's not a game to bet on for me with such line. Maybe live betting will have better offers.

  VS

Chorale Roanne - Lottomatica Roma


Another fair line for me. Roma is in must win situation and the only reason why I am not backing them is low odds on their win. Roanne will fight for 2-3 quarter but short bench will kill them in the end. Roma is going to win this game but I think that during in-play odds on Roma will be higher.

 

  VS

Montepaschi Siena - Olympiakos

I rate this line as fair too but I will back Montepaschi here because of several reason. First they are playing at home and looks like their arena will be full of supporters for this match. Second they have no moral pressure because after win in Poland their positions are safe. Third, italians know what defense means and they know how to play in defense. Also they have enough offensive power to overplay greeks in offensive basketball if they would not be able to hold them in defense. Fourth, Olympiacos is without Greer and Vassiloupoluos for this game. Fifth and final reason is that Olympiacos bench lookins weaker than Montepaschi bench.

I expect Montepaschi to win by 6-9 points but handicap line is but risky for betting because this game is not looking as one sided game so Montepaschi to win in the final minute is very possible scenario here.

Lean: Montepaschi to win

  VS

F.C. Barcelona - Brose Baskets

We should expect low-tempo game here with long possesions and many defensive work from both teams. It would be extremely hard to hold Barcelona under 70 points but everything is possible here, but more probably scenario I see if Barcelona scores around 72-76 points while Brose will score in the 58-65 range. So my line is 74-61.5.. It is very close to bookmakers over/under line. Maybe it's worth to back Under and Brose +16.5 but both picks could be easily lost.

  VS

Partizan Belgrade - Fenerbahce Ulker


Great home team versus one of the weakest away teams. But -7 handicap is looking too big for backing Partizan. Fenerbahce have enough talent to surprise serbian team but it's unpredictable if they will be able to show those weapons away from home. Very hard game in my opinion where everything is possible including Fenerbahce win.

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Comments
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4zsg   |2007-12-05 15:18:10
Thanks for the excellent work!!

Always great....
Plavih_11   |2007-12-05 20:54:03
In partizan - fb ulker match OVER is the best option

and EFES - UNICAJA ; I
don't expekt 9 points from WOODS , so UNDER 8,5 is another good select

have
a good luck
denoslaf d.  - picks   |2007-12-06 06:25:06
great picks aleks! thx what about todays machtes?
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