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Euroleague Week 7: Thursday games review PDF Print E-mail
Written by Alleks   
Thursday, 13 December 2007
Euroleague LogoZalgiris Kaunas vs Virtus Bologna
Absolutely disagree with bookies expectation (odds around 1.15-1.18) on Zalgiris to win this game. Zalgiris is too overpriced because of their last win over Tau Ceramica. Sure they are motivated to win this game but there are no easy teams in Euroleague especially for Zalgiris. When team don't have Euroleague level defense everything is possible in their game and when team don't have discipline on court and poor coach chances of surprise increase. In my opinion Zalgiris is bit better team because they have deeper bench than Virtus but it's hard to expect blowout against team which scores around 78-84 points in every game, especially when you don't have superb defense like CSKA.
 
More of that Virtus is understimated because of their huge away losses against to the top teams they played till this game. But here we have equal teams and I can't see a walkover for Zalgiris. This game should be decided in the 4th or 3rd quarter, most probably Zalgiris will prevail because of deeper bench and fan's support but I don't see so big points margin. I expect hard Zalgiris win by 3-6 points..

Pick: Virtus Bologna +10.5 @ 1.80 4/10 PinnacleSports

Real Madrid vs Fenerbahce Ulker
After 2 losses in a row Real should react. Ulker without Kutluay and Erden and these missings could be critical for them because their don't have many players who can score points. Mumbru is back to Real roster and with 9-10 men rotation Real should dominate in this match. Also Fenerbahce don't have motivation here and if Real will stay with their plan "it will be important not to relax at any time, maintain our tension and never allow Fenerbahce to set their pace" this should be easy game and confident win.

Pick: Real Madrid 1st half (-7) @ 1.90 3/10 10Bet.com
Pick: Real Madrid (-12) @ 1.80 3/10
PinnacleSports

Le Mans vs Maccabi Elite
Maccabi had seriuos talk with team president after their loss in domestic league and it's hard to predict what Maccabi version we will see in France today. Lemans still have promotion chances but with so many home losses I doubt about their chances reality. Open athletic game is expected and but 154.5 is a bit too high for me because of Lemans defensive abilities. Skip.

Lottomatica Roma vs Panathinaikos
Since 2005/2006 season Roma only 2 times lost at home with more than 10 points margin (to Fortitudo in 2005/2006 and to Montepaschi in 4th playoff game last year). PAO have 7-0 record and I doubt that they want to trash Roma today. While Roma still have real promotion chances and will fight for a win which can save their European season. Roma already proved that they can play against PAO in week 1 and today at home they will try to win. I am sure that all those "doubtful" players Repesa mentioned at press conference will step into the court and will give everything they have to win this game. I am not sure about Roma winning this game because here all depends from PAO but I think that backing Roma handicap could be a goodion for bet.

Pick: Roma +9 @ 1.75 4/10 PinnacleSports

FC Barcelona - Partizan Belgrade
Barcelona will try to revenge for loss in 1st round when Partizan won against them by 3 points. Coach of Partizan doesn't have very nice expectation's for tonight's clash.. He said that Barca were much better and deserve to win at first match at Belgrade. He also remind that it was time - beggining of season and Barca wasn't really strong as they are strong today and for tonight Palacio is doubtfull. I rate Partizan chances to win are very low but handicap depends from Barcelona. Usually they win comfortably such games at home and I would not be suprised to see 14-20 points Barcelona win today.

Union Olimpija - Montepaschi Siena
One of the most difficult game to predict. Here I simply can't predict Olimpija moral aspect. If they will play with heart and soul and leaders will find their shot everything is possible. They already won at home against CSKA and Olympiacos and italians are not so good in away matches. But class & experience in on away side but at home I expect Olimpija to fight until last seconds. Very hard game waits us here and I hope that Olimpija will show their character again. I will stay away from betting on this game but Olimpija +8 is worth of consideration.

Lean: Olimpija +8 @ 1.80 PinnacleSports
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gerard   |2007-12-13 15:59:55
I greet
You suggest it from these matches that
gerard   |2007-12-13 16:01:51
by Alleks
It serve matches which possible play 2
Alleks  - re:   |2007-12-13 16:12:22
gerard wrote:
by Alleks
It serve matches which possible play 2 


Sorry I don't understand your question.
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