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Euroleague Week 1. Thursday Betting Analysis PDF Print E-mail
Written by Alleks   
Thursday, 23 October 2008

Euroleague LogoBetting Lines for Euroleague Week 1 are very hard to beat because they were available since July and market was able to make them more or less correct. Also at this moment we have too many teams which we never have seen this season and it's another reason why betting on first games is so difficult. And finally latest factor is that many teams don't show any kinds of stable game. It's pretty hard to say what face of Real Madrid, Olympiacos, Partizan, Roma we will see today and what to expect from them. 

That's why following betting analysis are not official picks, but so called "Tv-picks".

Carlos ArroyoCibona vs. Maccabi Electra

Maccabi is better team with better players but most of them are without Euroleague experience and also no official games played for Maccabi. Isralian is very seriuos about this game and traveled to Zagreb on Tuesday that shows their attitude for this game. They favourites on the paper but on the field I would be suprised to see equal game with possible home win. Sounds a bit surprising but I still can't trust Maccabi early in the season especially away from home and that is my position. As for over 162.5 which is very popular bet I agree that this game could be a high-scoring one but I think that statistically bookmaker set line right.

If I would be forced to bet on this match I would choose over 162.5 becase both team are fast, with good offensive power and some problems on defensive end.

Recommended Tv-Pick: over 162.5

Efes Pilsen vs. Partizan

Simply don't know what to expect from Partizan here. The only bet I've considered for this match wass over 155.5 or Efes to score over 83 points. But still can't decide what is better because Partizan often struggle in offense in Euroleague away games while Efes known of good defense however new version Efes looking more attacking than all previuos. They are scoring 90 pts away from home in Turkey and it's hard to imagine what will happen when they will play at home. Maybe they will score more 85 pts but Partizan was looking solid in defense so far and mathematics talks that Efes will fail to score a lot.. All in one this game totaly depends of Partizan if you have seen this team and feel it than go with intution if not (like me) than skip a game.

Recommended Tv-Pick: Efes over 83 pts or over 154.5 pts

Casey JacobsenAlba Berlin vs. Lottomatica

Alba at home is solid team with many players left from last season. So far they were looking really good and Euroleague is probably most important start for Alba this season. According to latest info Jenkins will play for Alba and that is another good news for them. However it's a big question for me what is real power of Alba on Euroleague level... Last year Alba managed to lose at home in ULEB Cup to such teams as Turk Telecom, was close to loss with Bosna.. 2 years ago they lost to Siauliai.. Just too many facts to ignore here if you decided to trust Alba home court. On European level so far Alba was not looking solid and Euroleague is much higher level than Uleb Cup.

But on other side Lottomatica Roma right now is also in questionable form. They played just 2 official games, and changed the core of last season. They need time to adjust their game but on other side on the paper  they have good roster with experienced players who knows the taste of Euroleague. However during last 2 seasons Roma lost 17 of 20 away games and it is another fact you can't ignore if want to put money on Roma.

So the summary.. Such games are ideal situation for bookmakers because both teams have equal chances and it's really hard to say with confidence who will this game. As for me Alba should be sllightly favored in the line because they are in little bit better conditions.

DKV Joventut vs. Union Olimpija
Real Madrid vs. Panionios
Air Avellino vs. Olympiacos


These 3 games are not for betting at all. All teams are not in optimal conditions and I really can't write my own feelings about these matches.

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