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Euroleague Week 1 Betting Leans: Day 2 PDF Print E-mail
Written by Alleks   
Thursday, 25 October 2007
Armani Jeans Milano vs Lietuvos Rytas

Rytas played 10 games this season so far and only 2 of them went over 155. I watched them several times this season and honestly speaking I was not satisfied with their form especially in offense where they sometimes have up and downs. But their defense is still with them and I expect Rytas to use defense to win this game. Till today Rytas did not allowed more than 75 points to their basket and I think against Milan their defense should work nice because Milan is not so strong in offense this year. Despite problems with roster (injured Edison, Stelmahers) I expect Rytas to compete well today against Milan but I think this game is gonna to be low-tempo because up-tempo game can hurt Rytas and their coach knows this well.


Milano fired head coach and club president 2 days before this match and this could be good motivation factor for them. Milan is one of hottest home teams in Italy but this year their started bad in Italy with 1-5 record. But this don't mean anything because Euroleague is different competition and I'm sure than Milan will do their best to win today. Armani Jeans is not so strong in defense but I feel that in low-tempo game they could defend better and not to allow opponents to score 80 points. More of that I doubt that Rytas offense can be high scoring these days.

I expect really low-tempo tough game for both teams and don't expect any of the teams to go over 80 points today. Rytas as for me is a small favorite to win this game because of better current form and winning mentality but +2.5 points is not enough for me to take. My own line for this match would be 73.5-76.5 into Rytas side so under and Rytas handicap are bets to consider here. +2.5 and 152.5 line is very close to fair so I advice you to open account at Pinnacle and buy 2 points for both stakes.

Leans: Under 154 @ 1.80 & Rytas +3.5 @ 1.80 (both at PinnacleSports )

Brose Baskets vs Chorale Roanne

Experienced Brose Baskets should prevail against Euroleague debutants from France. Brose have more experience in this league, are very strong at home and have defensive style of play what is very important if you want to gain positive result here. More of that it's very important for Brose Baskets to win against direct competitors at home to have positive head to head balance to qualify to the next round.

Choralle Roanne is one of openings in French basketball in last 2 or 3 years. They qualified to Euroleague last year with other players and leaders, this year they in my opinion are weaker than last year but still like to play run-and-gun basketball. In away games they also are hard to beat mainly because of their high-scoring offense and sometimes home team defense is not working well against them.

Looking into today's line honestly speaking I see no advantage for us to use against bookies. Brose is correct favorite here with correct handicap. But usually when they play at home they cover handicaps and there are good chances today for them to cover against Roanne. Please use low stakes for this lean because it's always risky to bet on fair line.

Lean: Brose Baskets (-5.5) @ 1.82 PinnacleSports
 
To read previews & betting leans for Fenerbahce-Real and Maccabi-Le Mans please login or register here (if don't have login & password).
 
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andrea   |2007-10-25 14:57:10
Alleks, you are really smart guy
Alleks  - re:   |2007-10-25 17:09:17
andrea wrote:
Alleks, you are really smart guy


Thank you
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