CSKA Moscow - Olympiakos Pireus
CSKA without Smodis while Oly will be without Macijauskas and Tsakalidis (both are important especially Macas). CSKA is very motivated today because they lost 2 games in a row and now they must show their identity. Unfortunately CSKA these days is not in optimal conditions and that's why it's risky to bet on them these days. They bring us money last time in their first game with Prokom since than their did not manage to cover spread.

But looking into this game deeper I must say that CSKA style is not suitable for Olympiacos. CSKA lost all games in the end because they did not secure their advantage. Today most safe way for CSKA would be to build 20+ advantage and hold it until last second. Knowing this team character I predict them to dominate whole game against Olympiacos. And I hope in the end they will be able to beat the spread finally after 4 consecutive losses.

Lean: CSKA (-9.5)

KK Cibona VIP Zagreb - Armani Jeans Milano
I don't wish to touch spread or winner line here becasue as for me it is set correctly. Some punters like Cibona chances today but I need to say that Milano is showing signs of improvement lately and this could help them to compete well in Zagreb. 157.5 is statistically correct line but both teams are not so good in defense and prefer offensive style. I think that this game have good chances to end over 157.5.

Lean: Over 157.5

Lietuvos Rytas Vilnius-Aris TT Bank
Leaders of the group meet each other in Vilnius and it is a great chance for Vilnius to stay on the top. Rytas is simply better team with better players, with better chemistry and with great fans support. I don't expect to see sold out Siemens Arena today because Aris is not a public team but anyway Aris chances to win are very low. Only big teams can beat Rytas in Vilnius. I predict Rytas to win by 7-12 points today but I am not sure about trashing because this weekend Rytas have derby vs Zalgiris.

Lean: Rytas (-6.5)


Real Madrid-KK Partizan Beograd
Partizan is showing good results recently in all competitions. But this is young team and many travelings during last 2 weeks sooner or later should affect on their game, especially now when they can feel safe. Also we should overestimate their great games against not-in-form PAO, unexperienced Roanne and injury-weakened Barcelona. Today it will be difficult game for serbian team. Real Madrid is in really good shape and if fully concetrated on them. I expect easy Real Madrid win but have some fears to bet on such high handicap against team which have 3-0 ATS mark. But I have feeling that Real could destroy Partizan today while Partizan coach could give some rest for his key players after hard matches in last weeks.

Lean: Real Madrid (-9.5)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Chorale Roanne - Fenerbahce Ulker Istambul
Choralle must win today if they want to have real chances to qualify from this group. But Turkish team have more experience in such games and I don't what to expect here. If Roanne would be playing at home I will probably pick them but they are playing on neutral field in Clermont and this could be decisive factor for them. So my opinion is to skip this game.

La Fortezza VidiVici Bologna - Prokom Trefl Sopot
Both teams are in awful form recently and it is very difficult to predict what will happen here. But I think that we should avoid betting against Prokom. Polish team have experience and as I remember from previuos seasons Prokom sometimes was really unpredictable in away games. They could be really good and they could be awful. The same story is VidiVici which lost 2 of last 8 games and currently is looking really bad especially in defense. I think this game could be a close one, or it could be easy Vidi Vici win. Classical nobet game for me

 

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