Great Britain v Bosnia and Herzegowina
Very strange line here. Great Britain is 7 points favorite against good balanced and experienced Bosnia team which has advantage in all aspects of basketball game but don't have L.Deng in their roster. In my opinion this handicap is set only because of Luol Deng factor. Great Britain could be not such confident favourite against Bosnia even at home. Because with Teletovic, Bajramovic, Bremer and other quite solid level players (comparing to UK players) Bosnia is stronger team. Deng is a great addition and big talent for sure but -7 points is too much.
Also I have seriuos doubts about both team defenses which worked pretty well in first 2 games but each of them played against Czech Republic which is very poor in offense this year. Bosnia has huge 3 pointers shooting ability and I almost sure they will force UK centers to play inside outside game. UK on other side should force tempo because with such athletic players they must use their speed to get chances. Few weeks ago they played friendly and game ended 100-98.
I decided to pick over here as official bet because I have feeling that Great Britain can provide a suprise. Maybe I understimate them too much because line is not moving as I expected. I must see a team before betting against them with confidence. However total is diffirent in most bookies. At Pinnacle it is possible to bet on over 156.5 @ 1.85 while Unibet has more fair line set at 160 pts. I expect to see game in the 158-166 pts range and even more if Bosnia will find its offense.
Pick: Over 156.5 @ 1.85 5/10 PinnacleSports
P.S. Unfortunately these days I don't have enough time to cover all games but here are some other picks I would consider: Estonia - Macedonia: Under 151 Czech Republic - Israel: Israel +2.5 Belgium - Ukraine: Ukraine to win
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