Montepaschi Siena vs. Lottomatica Roma

151.5 total line looks low for me here. Both teams knows each other very well. With same coaches and rosters they played in last year Italian Legabasket league final and already played 2 times this season. So far in 7 of 8 played games they scored 150 and more points. Montepaschi home average is 92.5 and they usually find way to score 83-85 points at least so I would set 82.5-83 for home side here. On other side bookmakers set Roma's total on 70 points. Roma scored more than 70 points in all games against Montepaschi except one, also they have deep roster with nice 3-point shooting ability and even taking into consideration Montepaschi defensive skills I think that Roma have good chance to finish this game in 68-75 points range.

FC Barcelona vs Joventud

Public still believes in Joventud magic because of their latest results in Europe and local competitions. I agree that Joventud did a big step this year but now their journey will end. It's not easy to be in the top form during whole season even for such deep roster as Joventud have. They were good whole season long and they already completed all their goals. They won ULEB cup, King's Cup and they qualified into Euroleague 2008/2009 as winner of Uleb Cup. But main reason why I don't believe in them today is because they can't win games on hot arenas. Sounds crazy? Let's take closer look:

Tau Ceramica vs. Pamesa Valencia
Tau will be without Planinic and Rakocevic (was training but still highly doubtful), Jasaitis plays with injury, Mickael and Splitter had some injury problems too but will play. Sure Tau have deep bench but without Planinic and Rakocevic I can't expect best offensive game from them. They are currently on 4 games losing streak and maybe their best from came to them a little bit early than they wanted... Let's see today.