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Men Olympic Basketball: Day 2 Overview PDF Print E-mail
Written by Alleks   
Monday, 11 August 2008
Men Olympic Basketball: Day 2 OverviewDay 2 of Men Olympic basketball tournament is very difficult for betting but should be very interesting for watching with few great games like Russia - Croatia, Spain - China and Argentina - Australia. Let's review games in short.
 
 
Lithuanian Flag VS Iran Flag
Lithuania - Iran

Early time of game may have some effect on Lithuania players because they are not used to play in the 9 AM. But it should be an easy game in any case because of class difference.

Prediction: Lithuania 92 - 63 Iran
 
No Picks for this match

Russian FlagVS Croatian Flag
Russia - Croatia

Here we have a crucial battle especially for Russia which still need a win over Croatia or Australia to stay calm regarding promotion. Croatia already did first step and may get a quarterfinal spot if win today and than against Iran. The line we currently have is set right if Russia is your favourite to win a game. They are great defenders with some problems in offense and they must hold croatians under 73 points to win this game. But if you think that Croatia is going to win this game than you have an advantage over the line and could consider a Croatia +6.5 for a bet.

My own opinion that this game would be easy for any of the team. I expect hard match with a lot of lead changes and very close end. I respect D.Blatt job with Russia team but Croatia is looking great so far and if their quards will find right solutions against tough russian defense than I see Croatia as a small favourite to take this game. I would set Russia as 3 points favorite in this match but during a live betting I am almost sure that it will be a 50/50 game.

So if you have account at Betfair and know bet trading basics than best opportunity to make profit for this match is to buy Croatia @ 2.74 and sell it with odds around 1.9-2.1.
 
Prediction: Russia 74 - 77 Croatia
 
No picks for this match
 
 
Spain FlagVSChina Flag

Spain vs China
 
Spain will dictate their will here and I am not expecting any kind of surprises here. However I would honor home team with lower handicap around 18.5 points because China with their 3-point shooting ability is capable of scoring more than 67 points. While Spain should score in the 85-93 range. My line for this game 88-71 and small bet on over 151.5 could be placed here however I fear to bet against Spain defense. Spain team is capable to defend under 70 points against any team here.

Predicted score: Spain 88 - 72 China

Pick: Over 152.5 @ 1.85 Unibet
 
Germany Flag VS Greece Flag
 
Germany vs Greece

I was looking into over 149.5 side in this match but decided to skip it because so far both team showed excellent offense only against mediocre team and taking into consideration that this game is very important for each defense could be a factor here. Sure after loss to Spain Greece will be motivated for a win to avoid troubles but Germany with Kamann would not be an easy opponent. Greece have more chances to win this game because of higher class and deeper bench but I don't expect a walkover match.

Interesting game to watch but very hard to predict for betting purposes. Maybe live-betting will offer some interesting positions. Let's see.

Predicted score: Germany 72 - 78 Greece


No Picks For This Match

USA Flag VS Angola Flag
 
USA vs Angola

There is not much to add to the preview I have found on officialy USA Basketball website.

Angola enters the game having lost to Germany 95-66 in its opening contest Sunday at Wukesong Arena. Angola managed to compete with Germany early. The deficit was just four points, 25-21, after the first quarter. From there, however, it was all Germany as Angola was outscored 29-13 in the second period, 24-18 in the third and 17-14 in the fourth to reach the game's final tally. Angola's Eduardo Mingas led his squad with 24 points, followed by 14 points from Carlos Morais and 10 from Milton Barros. Angola shot just 33.3 percent from the field (20-60 FGs) and lost the rebound contest 39-22.

The Scouting Report by Tony Ronzone, Director of International Player Personnel

What do we know about Angola?
Angola won the Africa Championship, and they've come along way since 1992 when Charles Barkley made the comment about them being skinny guys. It's one of the best coached, most structured programs in Africa. They are kind of like the old University of Las Vegas-Nevada team, where they are just very quick, athletic and they run. The thing about them is they are very small. Their biggest guy is 6'7", and they don't have a back up. They have a player named Olimpio Cipriano, and he's their best player. They have a kid named Carlos Almeida, and he's pretty talented. They don't have much of a bench. Their biggest problem is they just don't have any height, but they have speed. They go after every loose ball, and they always compete. We have a huge advantage because of our height and our quickness. Even though they are quick, they are just not as big or strong. But they are one of those teams that always competes and plays hard, and they are a major player among the African nations.

Should be expect to see a lot of zone defense?
No question, and that's a great thing. The experience against zone defense will prepare us for our upcoming games against Greece and Spain in pool play and even some of the teams in the other bracket down the road, like Lithuania. I think in this tournament, we are going to see zone a lot. So actually this game is great preparation for us. And again, we still respect them. They can still come in and make shots. They have won against China, they played Argentina tough, so they are not bad. They get in foul trouble, and they have a hard time when they go to their bench, but they'll compete the entire game. That's one thing about them, they will never quit playing.

Prediction

USA should dominate in this game and destroy Angola. I am not sure about handicap because it mainly depends on unpredictable factor but I expect to see at least 1 or 2 quarters with USA scoring around 35 points. If this will happen it's almost sure that americans will score around 110-125 points. I am not sure about Angola's ability to score 75 points because of their weak bench players but hope they will score at least 70 to make a total over 187.

Predicted score: USA 122 - 71 Angola

Pick: USA to score over 115.5 @ 1.83 Sportingbet
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