Euroleague Top-16. Week 2 Betting Tips. Thursday games. PDF Print E-mail
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Thursday, 04 February 2010 10:46
euroleague-top16-2010Looks that this year Euroleague Top 16 if full of surprises and second round games will be something really interesting to watch... Let's have a look on today's matches because this evening we might see another Euroleague thrillers.


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Euroleague Top-16. Week 2. Fighting for Motivation PDF Print E-mail
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Wednesday, 03 February 2010 12:51
euroleague-top16-2010Week 2 of Euroleague Top-16 should give us first outsiders of this stage and starting from next round we will have some less motivated teams, that is why I decided to call this round "Fighting for Motivation".
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Eurocup Top-16. Week 2 Betting Tips PDF Print E-mail
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Tuesday, 02 February 2010 12:10
I'll be very short today because of time deficit but here are my thoughts for tonight Eurocup games.
Unics - Pamesa Valencia
Ok, Pamesa has bad results in last games but they are still one of the best ACB league teams. Unics had very tought schedule and might be tired.
Pamesa with full roster has chances to steal a victory in Kazan. I just can't see Unics strong 6.5 points favorite here so my choice for this match Pamesa +6.5.
Aris - Le Mans
Aris with Blatt can demolish French team which has no realistic chances to promote from this group after their loss to ALBA. The only problem for Aris their Sunday's visit to Oly where they lost by few points.
I expect confident Aris victory by 7-12 points. Unfortunately line is very close to fair one, but Aris ML is nice combo material.
Hapeol - Galatasaray
Over 168.5 is the best bet here because we have 2 very fast and very overish teams. However, again I should say that bookies set line almost perfectly. So worth to pick over 168.5 with low stakes before match or wait for better offer during live-betting.
ALBA - Joventud
Joventud leader Tucker is in bad shape and this is a stop signal for me regarding betting on Joventud. Without Tucker's points I see very tough evening for Joventud. However with "30-points pe game" Tucker I would pick Joventud ML with no doubts.
eurocupI'll be very short today because of time deficit but here are my thoughts for tonight Eurocup games.
Unics Kazan - Pamesa Valencia
Ok, Pamesa has bad results in last games but they are still one of the best ACB league teams. Unics had very tought schedule and might be tired.
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Euroleague Top-16. Week 1. True favorites day PDF Print E-mail
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Wednesday, 27 January 2010 13:32
CSKA - Unicaja
CSKA is in good shape at this moment but they are not the team to back such big handicaps. A lot will depend will on game pace here because one team is playing half-court basketball and another like to run and shoot. If CSKA will force Unicaja to play low paced game I see this game going under the 145.5 total but if CSKA will have a good shooting night they can demolish Unicaja and make the game close to the total bookies set for this game.
I see 2 scenarios here. First and the most expected by me CSKA easy win by smth like 75-66 and second scenario CSKA very easy win by 10+ pts and 82-68 final score.
I think that under 147.5 worth a shot here but there is still a plenty of room to see very close to 147.5 total. Betfair currently has 149.5 fixed line and I will pick under there at 1.71 currently with low-stake (not sure that there will be a big money volume)
Pick: Under 149.5 @ 1.71 3/10 Betfair
PAO - Partizan
PAO is clear favorite here, they have a lot of injuries troubles but they still are deeper and at home I can't imagine them losing. Line for me looks like a fair one and I expect PAO to win by 11-18 points with total around 142-148. Skip is the best betting choice here.
Real Madrid - Efes Pilsen
I personally hate to bet on any of these teams and for sure I will skip this game when they are playing against each other. Messina said that his team is very motivated but Efes has enough experience not to lose by 15-20 points.
I think that Real will take this one quite easily because they system is better, they play at home and they have better players. But for me it is very difficult to predict the winning margin of Spanish team. Here a lot will depend from Real offense. If they will score 80+ points their chances to cover handicap will raise if less than 80 points than it is 50/50 question regarding the -10.5 handicap.
CSKA cheer leaderCSKA - Unicaja

CSKA is in good shape at this moment but they are not the team to back such big handicaps. A lot will depend will on game pace here because one team is playing half-court basketball and another like to run and shoot. If CSKA will force Unicaja to play low paced game I see this game going under the 145.5 total but if CSKA will have a good shooting night they can demolish Unicaja and make the game close to the total bookies set for this game.
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Euroleague Top-16. Week 1 Betting Tips: Thursday PDF Print E-mail
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Thursday, 28 January 2010 13:45
euroleague-top16-2010Khimki - Cibona

Here we have 2 defensive minded teams which defends better than score points. Khimki might see some troubles offensively because Cibona defending very smart and rarely allows more than 73 points to its basket. Against good defensive teams Khimki's offense often stops working as it works against open court team and without scoring 75+ points it will be very hard to cover such big handicap.
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Eurocup Top-16. Deja Vu in Le Mans PDF Print E-mail
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Tuesday, 26 January 2010 11:39
salyersLe Mans - Alba

They played 2 times in EL qualies 61:60 in France (150 possessions per game) and 77:62 (147 possessions). The line for those games was -4.5/143.5 in France and -5.5/140.5 in Berlin.

Now we have 146.5 total line due the high scoring games at group stage. But for me h2h stats are more important and I think that this game should be low-paced with 146-155 possessions per game. This game is important for both teams because Le Mans can't lose home game and ALBA's goal to steal at least one away victory (and Le Mans is the best chance because Aris and Joventud has stronger home court).
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